WPAC: Invest 99W

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4081
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

WPAC: Invest 99W

#1 Postby Hayabusa » Tue Apr 02, 2019 1:56 am

ABPW10 PGTW 020600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/020600Z-030600ZAPR2019//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 3.3N 153.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.2N 155.2E, APPROXIMATELY 275
NM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 012330Z PARTIAL ASCAT PASS DEPICT AN ILL-DEFINED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. THE ENVIRONMENT
IS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT, WITH STRONG UPPER
LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WARM (28-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET
BY HIGH (25-30KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THAT DECREASES QUICKLY TO THE
NORTH. THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT ON MODEL SOLUTIONS, WITH GFS,
NAVGEM, AND UKMO FAVORING A NORTHWESTERN TRACK TOWARDS GUAM, WHILE
THE ECMWF AND JGSM SHOW NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4081
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: Invest 99W

#2 Postby Hayabusa » Tue Apr 02, 2019 5:11 am

GFS again with its shenanigans :roll:
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: Invest 99W

#3 Postby euro6208 » Wed Apr 03, 2019 6:55 am

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 4.2N 155.2E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/


Return to “2019”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests