2019 WPAC Season
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
The basin truly taking it's time after historic Cat 5 Wutip in February or another backloaded season?
Last edited by euro6208 on Sun Apr 14, 2019 7:36 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS back to some action as another MJO is possible mid month next week unless some surprises occur.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
The WPAC has technically shutdown since Wutip, what a bore
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Hayabusa wrote:The WPAC has technically shutdown since Wutip, what a bore
It is only the middle of April, and May is historically the quietest time of year for tropical cyclones globally, so it is not unusual to have a prolonged quiet period in any basin at this time of year. Peak season in the NWP is August-September, so no reason to write the basin off yet.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
al78 wrote:Hayabusa wrote:The WPAC has technically shutdown since Wutip, what a bore
It is only the middle of April, and May is historically the quietest time of year for tropical cyclones globally, so it is not unusual to have a prolonged quiet period in any basin at this time of year. Peak season in the NWP is August-September, so no reason to write the basin off yet.
True. But the slowest months climatologically is February and March for the WPAC so it's unusual that April hasn't produce anything as of late. Maybe it was the hype that was Wutip and the possible el nino.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Yeah it's the El Nino hype that got my hopes up for back to back named storms just after Wutip.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
WPAC above average in all areas. With an ACE of 35.2, it can remain dormant until the middle of June and still be on par with climatology.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
On average there is 0.6 named storms in the month of April.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Something to watch. EURO has been trending stronger with this. GFS zilch...
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
CMC and NAVGEM also on board.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
It's a large system alright. Models are still very limited intensification to no intensification.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
No wonder why the models are starting to pick up on some activity. KW looking pretty potent. MJO right behind.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS long range has a significant TC developing southeast of the Marianas for several runs now.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS is all over the place. Hinting on some potential TC near Palau.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Strong convectively coupled Kelvin wave to pass as noted by the black contour lines.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
I haven't seen the other models but:
GFS pretty robust in developing the system southwest of Guam.
00Z
06Z
GFS pretty robust in developing the system southwest of Guam.
00Z
06Z
Last edited by euro6208 on Mon Apr 29, 2019 6:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
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