Texas Spring 2019

[CaptinCrunch]

NWS FTW has brought down the storm % chances for Tuesday/Tue.Night to 40% and raised the % chances for Wed/Wed.Night to 60%. There is now at least a 40% of storms each day/night through Friday now.

In brief, the overall severe weather threat appears to have
decreased on Tuesday, but will remain in place on Wednesday. The
heavy rainfall threat arrives on Wednesday, posing a flooding
potential for portions of North and Central Texas. Precipitation
chances will linger into the weekend as return flow increases and
abundant moisture returns. Additional details on each days
severe weather/flooding potential below.

[Lagreeneyes03]

NWS FTW has brought down the storm % chances for Tuesday/Tue.Night to 40% and raised the % chances for Wed/Wed.Night to 60%. There is now at least a 40% of storms each day/night through Friday now.

In brief, the overall severe weather threat appears to have
decreased on Tuesday, but will remain in place on Wednesday. The
heavy rainfall threat arrives on Wednesday, posing a flooding
potential for portions of North and Central Texas. Precipitation
chances will linger into the weekend as return flow increases and
abundant moisture returns. Additional details on each days
severe weather/flooding potential below.

Florida Weather..........

[Cerlin]

I know the weather app on the phone isn’t reliable but it is impressive to see every day with a thundercloud emoji.

[Haris]

The euro is showing 3” of rain in Austin on Wednesday

Barely a drop on the gfs.

Help me out here someone lol

[Ralph's Weather]

Just like in winter look at 500mb. All models (Op & Ens) show a continuous -EPO/-PNA pattern which is wet and cool around here. The first half of May at minimum will be wet. A cool/wet start to May bodes very well for a average to below average summer. This is looking very 2015ish.

[bubba hotep]

Probably the craziest Euro Weeklies run that I have seen

[869MB]

Probably the craziest Euro Weeklies run that I have seen

?????

[bubba hotep]

Probably the craziest Euro Weeklies run that I have seen

?????

Nearly maxed out precipitation anomalies from South Texas to Iowa.

[lukem]

Probably the craziest Euro Weeklies run that I have seen

?????

Nearly maxed out precipitation anomalies from South Texas to Iowa.

Same thing with the 6z GFS. Reminds me of the runs before Harvey. Crazy rain.

[Cpv17]

?????

Nearly maxed out precipitation anomalies from South Texas to Iowa.

Same thing with the 6z GFS. Reminds me of the runs before Harvey. Crazy rain.

Would be lots of river flooding downstream in southeast TX if that verifies.

[bubba hotep]

SPC has 5% Tornado over DFW but keeps the Hail Hatch out west.

ETA: latest update pulled 5% north

[weatherdude1108]

Saw the QPF chatter on here. Had to look for myself.

WHOA!!

That kind of rain guarantees flood operations would be implemented in a lot of places.

[Ralph's Weather]

Saw the QPF chatter on here. Had to look for myself.

WHOA!!

That kind of rain guarantees flood operations would be implemented in a lot of places.

As I said yesterday this set up will produce tons of rain. And with wet soil already in place there could be trouble. Thankfully my area has incredibly sandy soil and most creeks are in low lying areas. There will be lots of road closures though this month.

[Cpv17]

Most areas here are bordering on drought conditions so it’ll take a pretty good amount of rain here before soils become saturated.

[Ralph's Weather]

Most areas here are bordering on drought conditions so it’ll take a pretty good amount of rain here before soils become saturated.

It has been wet to very wet this year in NE TX and N TX has been fairly wet. These same areas will be hit with the wettest conditions yet this year over the coming days. Rivers are already in flood stage up here.

[Haris]

I remember the 12z euro showing last Wed showing over 4" of rain here by This thursday and 8" near the hill country. That does not look to be materializing so I am not excited yet. Looks like nothing today or tom here.

[Bunkertor]

Can i post here ? Please move is necessary.
SPC put a 70/50 and a MD, which states " increase "

[Yukon Cornelius]

Where’s the rain? High chances the past two days without a drop.

[1900hurricane]

 https://twitter.com/1900hurricane/status/1123286753492832256

[CaptinCrunch]

An active weather pattern continues today through Wednesday. A couple of upper disturbances will lift northeast across North and Central Texas each day. The potential for severe weather will increase this afternoon and continue through this evening, especially along and north of I-20/30 corridors. Main hazards will be large hail, damaging winds, and frequent lightning. An isolated tornado will be possible north of I-20 and toward the Red River Valley. A brief lull is expected during the overnight hours, however more showers and storms are expected to overspread the area from the southwest Wednesday morning, with a possible complex of strong-severe storms moving across the area by Wednesday afternoon and evening once again. In addition, training of thunderstorms with heavy rainfall may result in axis of localized, high rainfall amounts and at isolated instances of flash-flooding. Stay weather aware both today and again Wednesday regarding forecast updates, watches, and warnings and have multiple sources for receiving weather updates!