Texas Spring 2019
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- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
What are the prospects for severe weather in dfw after dark? It seems a bit hard for me to believe that severe weather is likely until 11 as the watch would suggest. Is it expected to fill in as an MCS?
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
cheezyWXguy wrote:What are the prospects for severe weather in dfw after dark? It seems a bit hard for me to believe that severe weather is likely until 11 as the watch would suggest. Is it expected to fill in as an MCS?
I wouldn't be surprised to see the watch get extended for portions of DFW
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
bubba hotep wrote:cheezyWXguy wrote:What are the prospects for severe weather in dfw after dark? It seems a bit hard for me to believe that severe weather is likely until 11 as the watch would suggest. Is it expected to fill in as an MCS?
I wouldn't be surprised to see the watch get extended for portions of DFW
I have no idea what to expect the models have been struggling with this... The HRRR has nothing overnight but its been struggling too
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Spring 2019
The forecast the next several days is not easy. There really isn't a big storm coming out and just flashing the whole state with a variety of weather. We are sitting in a weakness behind the big east coast ridge. Disturbances/ripples will move along this weakness and with very high pwats there will be locally heavy rain where it does fall, quite humid indicative of high pwats. Severe weather is dependent on the parameters day by day. I think we may get some kind of a line tonight but that's iffy.
Tomorrow a few more complexes/storms will ignite early to midday.
Tomorrow a few more complexes/storms will ignite early to midday.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Haris
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Ntxw wrote:The forecast the next several days is not easy. There really isn't a big storm coming out and just flashing the whole state with a variety of weather. We are sitting in a weakness behind the big east coast ridge. Disturbances/ripples will move along this weakness and with very high pwats there will be locally heavy rain where it does fall, quite humid indicative of high pwats. Severe weather is dependent on the parameters day by day. I think we may get some kind of a line tonight but that's iffy.
Tomorrow a few more complexes/storms will ignite early to midday.
Do you Austin can get on the action tom. I only have the euro on my side. I am really wanting something here. The euro has kept teasing us with 3" + rains for wed
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Absolutely torrential rains in Denison right now.
Sounds like 2015 on the roof.
Sounds like 2015 on the roof.
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Spring 2019
Haris wrote:Ntxw wrote:The forecast the next several days is not easy. There really isn't a big storm coming out and just flashing the whole state with a variety of weather. We are sitting in a weakness behind the big east coast ridge. Disturbances/ripples will move along this weakness and with very high pwats there will be locally heavy rain where it does fall, quite humid indicative of high pwats. Severe weather is dependent on the parameters day by day. I think we may get some kind of a line tonight but that's iffy.
Tomorrow a few more complexes/storms will ignite early to midday.
Do you Austin can get on the action tom. I only have the euro on my side. I am really wanting something here. The euro has kept teasing us with 3" + rains for wed
I'm not sure if tomorrow Austin and company is in the right position for it. Just depends where storms fire off. I think you guys do better later in the week closer to Thursday/Friday.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Haris
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Ntxw wrote:Haris wrote:Ntxw wrote:The forecast the next several days is not easy. There really isn't a big storm coming out and just flashing the whole state with a variety of weather. We are sitting in a weakness behind the big east coast ridge. Disturbances/ripples will move along this weakness and with very high pwats there will be locally heavy rain where it does fall, quite humid indicative of high pwats. Severe weather is dependent on the parameters day by day. I think we may get some kind of a line tonight but that's iffy.
Tomorrow a few more complexes/storms will ignite early to midday.
Do you Austin can get on the action tom. I only have the euro on my side. I am really wanting something here. The euro has kept teasing us with 3" + rains for wed
I'm not sure if tomorrow Austin and company is in the right position for it. Just depends where storms fire off. I think you guys do better later in the week closer to Thursday/Friday.
Thanks. Makes sense
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
EnnisTx wrote:Mostly another dud for hyped up weather across most of North Texas.
strange comment given that there was a tornado in the metroplex tonight...
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
WeatherNewbie wrote:EnnisTx wrote:Mostly another dud for hyped up weather across most of North Texas.
strange comment given that there was a tornado in the metroplex tonight...
Um, ok. Tell that to my kids, who my wife and I had taking shelter here in Ponder while under two consecutive tornado warnings. For a slight risk I think the coverage was appropriate. I would have happily sent you our weather your way.
Social media amateur posts does not equal hype. This was not played up like a few weeks ago. If anything I think people slept on it somewhat.
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Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
EnnisTx wrote:Mostly another dud for hyped up weather across most of North Texas.
middle of the enhanced day 1... let's see if this holds up again
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- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Only saw a few sprinkles yesterday in SE Tarrant Co. It looked promising, but no Buano.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
SPC has updated the hail specs to 30% for most of DFW with the hatched area to the West. Sun is trying to come out here in Addison
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Got .60 from non-severe edges of that tornadic cell. Will see what happens today.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
bubba hotep wrote:cheezyWXguy wrote:What are the prospects for severe weather in dfw after dark? It seems a bit hard for me to believe that severe weather is likely until 11 as the watch would suggest. Is it expected to fill in as an MCS?
I wouldn't be surprised to see the watch get extended for portions of DFW
My hot take here didn't age well lol
Today looks like another interesting day with the CAMs all over the place.

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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
The NWS discussion has no mention of hail, like it did last week and the whole DFW metro went nuts.
Is that type of hail still a possiblity or are the conditions not right for hail, but yes for damaging wind, etc? Or are they not mentioning the hail for fear of widespread panic again?
Is that type of hail still a possiblity or are the conditions not right for hail, but yes for damaging wind, etc? Or are they not mentioning the hail for fear of widespread panic again?
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:The NWS discussion has no mention of hail, like it did last week and the whole DFW metro went nuts.
Is that type of hail still a possiblity or are the conditions not right for hail, but yes for damaging wind, etc? Or are they not mentioning the hail for fear of widespread panic again?
Hail is still a possibility, most of DFW is in the 30% hail range and SPC states that some of the hail could be quite large. Wind seems to be the biggest threat for the day it seems
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- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Storms won't start building till mid to late afternoon much like yesterday, and again like yesterday not everyone will see them.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
HockeyTx82 wrote:WeatherNewbie wrote:EnnisTx wrote:Mostly another dud for hyped up weather across most of North Texas.
strange comment given that there was a tornado in the metroplex tonight...
Um, ok. Tell that to my kids, who my wife and I had taking shelter here in Ponder while under two consecutive tornado warnings. For a slight risk I think the coverage was appropriate. I would have happily sent you our weather your way.
Social media amateur posts does not equal hype. This was not played up like a few weeks ago. If anything I think people slept on it somewhat.
You know if you're looking for an apology it's not happening. My statement was true other than one storm that moved across Parker/ Tarrant / Denton Counties it was a dud compared to what was expected.
My son was part of that same Tornado Warning and took shelter as well. Been there done that and this has happened more times than I can count over many years.
No it wasn't as hyped as the "Great Hail Storm" that never materialized in the previous week, but it had plenty of talk and hype via all forms of media/social outlets as well as an issued Tornado Watch and an upgrade to Enhanced Risk.
Short of the story, that's my opinion and you have yours and we all know what they say about opinions.
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