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If the CANSIPS verifies, it would have ramifications towards the Atlantic hurricane season.
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stormlover2013 wrote:Man they model jump all over these models just like hurricane season lol 3 weeks El Niño fizzling now oh man it’s coming back lol
stormlover2013 wrote:Man they model jump all over these models just like hurricane season lol 3 weeks El Niño fizzling now oh man it’s coming back lol
Kingarabian wrote:stormlover2013 wrote:Man they model jump all over these models just like hurricane season lol 3 weeks El Niño fizzling now oh man it’s coming back lol
No one said its fizzling
TheStormExpert wrote:Kingarabian wrote:stormlover2013 wrote:Man they model jump all over these models just like hurricane season lol 3 weeks El Niño fizzling now oh man it’s coming back lol
No one said its fizzling
I’m pretty sure just last week folks were saying it would dissipate by peak season.
Kingarabian wrote:OHC is on life support, down to about 0.3:
https://i.imgur.com/VM9MNWn.png
GFS now pretty much similar to the Euro in its MJO forecast and continues to expand its strong WWB, now reaching the dateline:
https://i.imgur.com/TbKoRe3.png
Looks like it will be similar to the February event with the way things are progressing. It's well defined to the point you can clearly see the event over the equatorial WPAC on satellite imagery.
(7mb gif loop): https://imgur.com/Z8QAVpK
NotSparta wrote:Kingarabian wrote:OHC is on life support, down to about 0.3:
https://i.imgur.com/VM9MNWn.png
GFS now pretty much similar to the Euro in its MJO forecast and continues to expand its strong WWB, now reaching the dateline:
https://i.imgur.com/TbKoRe3.png
Looks like it will be similar to the February event with the way things are progressing. It's well defined to the point you can clearly see the event over the equatorial WPAC on satellite imagery.
(7mb gif loop): https://imgur.com/Z8QAVpK
Doesn't look like the February event to me. Still further west, reminds me of the March event (but a bit east). It is stronger than the last but not as much as February. In addition, if the forecast verifies, the duration will leave much to be desired.
Kingarabian wrote:NotSparta wrote:Kingarabian wrote:OHC is on life support, down to about 0.3:
https://i.imgur.com/VM9MNWn.png
GFS now pretty much similar to the Euro in its MJO forecast and continues to expand its strong WWB, now reaching the dateline:
https://i.imgur.com/TbKoRe3.png
Looks like it will be similar to the February event with the way things are progressing. It's well defined to the point you can clearly see the event over the equatorial WPAC on satellite imagery.
(7mb gif loop): https://imgur.com/Z8QAVpK
Doesn't look like the February event to me. Still further west, reminds me of the March event (but a bit east). It is stronger than the last but not as much as February. In addition, if the forecast verifies, the duration will leave much to be desired.
It's much stronger and coherent than what we saw in March. I don't even think what we saw in March counts as a true westerly burst. So far this event has similar Ms speeds near the dateline to the February WWB and with due time it likely to continue correct east. CFS has this WWB as strong or stronger than the February WWB
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