Texas Spring 2019

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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1521 Postby bubba hotep » Sat May 18, 2019 3:02 pm

12z TX Tech 4k Ensemble run is a bit concerning as it looks to light up the dry line with a 2nd round of storms along I35 later as this first batch continues to push east.

Image

Seems unlikely given the intensity of this first round, likely to have significant subsidence behind it but some big CAPE building back out west

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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1522 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat May 18, 2019 3:04 pm

bubba hotep wrote:12z TX Tech 4k Ensemble run is a bit concerning as it looks to light up the dry line with a 2nd round of storms along I35 later as this first batch continues to push east.

https://i.ibb.co/d4yM5Dx/paintball-UH-thresh25-f15-12z51819.jpg

Seems unlikely given the intensity of this first round, likely to have significant subsidence behind it but some big CAPE building back out west

https://i.ibb.co/K5Z3GvL/SPC-CAPE.png


This is happening right now. Look at the storms lighting up over ft worth
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1523 Postby bubba hotep » Sat May 18, 2019 3:15 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:12z TX Tech 4k Ensemble run is a bit concerning as it looks to light up the dry line with a 2nd round of storms along I35 later as this first batch continues to push east.

https://i.ibb.co/d4yM5Dx/paintball-UH-thresh25-f15-12z51819.jpg

Seems unlikely given the intensity of this first round, likely to have significant subsidence behind it but some big CAPE building back out west

https://i.ibb.co/K5Z3GvL/SPC-CAPE.png


This is happening right now. Look at the storms lighting up over ft worth


The timestamp on that TX Tech image wouldn't have those storms firing for another 4 or 5 hrs. However, that new thin line of storms popped pretty good out of no where for sure.

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1524 Postby Haris » Sat May 18, 2019 3:21 pm

Could get interesting in Austin after all!
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1525 Postby bubba hotep » Sat May 18, 2019 3:28 pm

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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1526 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat May 18, 2019 3:45 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:12z TX Tech 4k Ensemble run is a bit concerning as it looks to light up the dry line with a 2nd round of storms along I35 later as this first batch continues to push east.

https://i.ibb.co/d4yM5Dx/paintball-UH-thresh25-f15-12z51819.jpg

Seems unlikely given the intensity of this first round, likely to have significant subsidence behind it but some big CAPE building back out west

https://i.ibb.co/K5Z3GvL/SPC-CAPE.png


This is happening right now. Look at the storms lighting up over ft worth


The timestamp on that TX Tech image wouldn't have those storms firing for another 4 or 5 hrs. However, that new thin line of storms popped pretty good out of no where for sure.

https://climate.cod.edu/data/nexrad/animations/codnexlab.NEXRAD.FWS.N0Q.20190518.2014.024ani.gif

What time is it showing? I’m having trouble seeing a time stamp
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1527 Postby bubba hotep » Sat May 18, 2019 3:49 pm

New storm moving in on MBY

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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1528 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 18, 2019 4:01 pm

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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1529 Postby Shoshana » Sat May 18, 2019 4:58 pm

Haris wrote:Could get interesting in Austin after all!


Not yet, but that’s ok
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1530 Postby Ntxw » Sat May 18, 2019 5:41 pm

2.15" of rain today at DFW which is a record for the date. Over 7" for the month now
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1531 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat May 18, 2019 5:48 pm

I think DFW is now caught up with last year or ahead of it by this point. There is on little shower trying to pop around Mineral Wells.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1532 Postby funster » Sat May 18, 2019 6:17 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:I think DFW is now caught up with last year or ahead of it by this point. There is on little shower trying to pop around Mineral Wells.


There is a sneaky shower forming there. I wonder if we are still not finished today.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1533 Postby Haris » Sat May 18, 2019 6:31 pm

nada... oh well.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1534 Postby Shoshana » Sat May 18, 2019 6:52 pm

I’m surprised the Tornado Watch is still up here in Travis County, we don’t even have rain in the forecast now
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1535 Postby bubba hotep » Sat May 18, 2019 7:27 pm

Ntxw wrote:2.15" of rain today at DFW which is a record for the date. Over 7" for the month now


DFW was kind of in a rain hole with bigger totals to the west and east

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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1536 Postby bubba hotep » Sat May 18, 2019 7:30 pm

SCP pushing 20 across DFW and this cell moving into the area

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1537 Postby bubba hotep » Sat May 18, 2019 7:44 pm

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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1538 Postby Ntxw » Sat May 18, 2019 8:13 pm

Due to timing issues, I-35 corridor in N and C Texas Mon night-Tuesday morning will (as of now) likely be another MCS passage.

For those in the Panhandle and Oklahoma it could be a strong moderate or high risk tornado day.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1539 Postby bubba hotep » Sat May 18, 2019 8:21 pm

Ntxw wrote:Due to timing issues, I-35 corridor in N and C Texas Mon night-Tuesday morning will (as of now) likely be another MCS passage.

For those in the Panhandle and Oklahoma it could be a strong moderate or high risk tornado day.


A unique combo of ingredients for this time of year

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Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#1540 Postby Brent » Sat May 18, 2019 10:28 pm

Several trees down from the line earlier up here in Wylie wind definitely surprised me a bit
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