2019 EPAC season

[Ntxw]

Alvin is starting to wind down hitting cooler waters. Barbara looks like could be on horizon and has a better shot at major, imho.

[cycloneye]

We are continuing the discussions of system soon to be Barbara on the INVEST 94E thread

[Kingarabian]

I think this area close to 130W warrants a yellow circle. ICON and Euro been trying to develop it for a couple of days now and there's a chance something weak comes out of it.

[cycloneye]

GFS forms the one behind 94E more east and that goes to what the discussion in the 94E thread is going on by NotSparta and Kingarabian.

[cycloneye]

Wow,made the Friday call for this on Wednesday.

An area of low pressure is expected to form by the middle of next
week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Conditions appear favorable for development of this system while it
moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

[Kingarabian]

Wow,made the Friday call for this on Wednesday.

An area of low pressure is expected to form by the middle of next
week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Conditions appear favorable for development of this system while it
moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Yup great calls!

[cycloneye]

An area of low pressure is expected to form by the middle of next
week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Conditions appear favorable for development of this system while it
moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

[cycloneye]

An area of low pressure is expected to form by the middle of next
week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system
while it moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

[gatorcane]

The lid has come off. Looks like an active next couple of weeks for the EPAC.

[cycloneye]

An area of low pressure is expected to form by the middle of next
week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system
while it moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

[Kingarabian]

 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1144948241093595136

[cycloneye]

We may see up to Flossie in the next 2 weeks.

[Ntxw]

EPAC is the hotbed right now. Only area in the world at the moment looking at sig TC activity.

[cycloneye]

An area of low pressure is expected to form by the middle of next
week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system
while it moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

[cycloneye]

An area of low pressure is expected to form by the middle of next
week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system
while it moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

[cycloneye]

An area of low pressure is expected to form by the middle of next
week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system
while it moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

[Tailspin]

Will Hawaii be under the pump as the basin get active?
https://imgur.com/EfGjpHn
NCEP

https://imgur.com/GLu88UJ
EC

[NDG]

Any hurricane threats to Hawaii over the next couple of weeks will have to track westward south of the 15th Latitude before approaching the Islands, SSTs are still a little too cool east of the 150th longitude and north of 15th lat to support a Hurricane. IMO.

[Ntxw]

Yeah hit from the south is still the most threatening especially western chain.

Still, it has been a shooting gallery. Past several years has been one after another it is now a numbers game.

[cycloneye]

The fireworks have begun as the second named storm has formed.Follow all the information and discussions at the BARBARA Thread