ATL: BARRY - Models
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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
12z ECMWF looking a touch stronger with 92L.
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My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
A little stronger at 96 hours vs 00z.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
more south in gulf will get stronger as move west not good case for texas
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
A more northerly heading through 96 hrs compared to last night's run.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Through 96 hrs I see just a 1 mb stronger than on last night's run for Friday morning, but further north & east.
Is going to show a SW LA landfall in this run, IMO.
Is going to show a SW LA landfall in this run, IMO.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
12z faster than 00z.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
96 Hours
Last edited by Steve on Mon Jul 08, 2019 1:41 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Looks further north.
Last edited by sphelps8681 on Mon Jul 08, 2019 1:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Are you not allowed to show the graphics to illustrate what you are seeing? This is the models thread, so lets post model plots and maps to go along with the insights. Thanks
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Steve wrote:96 looks a little better defined @ 999mb and moving a bit faster as well - is 25 or so miles farther west than 00z and due south of Grand Isle
http://i68.tinypic.com/w9xiyr.jpg
Not when compared to last night's run.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
lovingseason2013 wrote:Are you not allowed to show the graphics to illustrate what you are seeing? This is the models thread, so lets post model plots and maps to go along with the insights. Thanks
I go to Tropicaltidbits.com.
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- ColdMiser123
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Slower and stronger than 0z. Likely will make landfall pretty close to where 0z did, perhaps a touch east.
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B.S., M.S., Meteorology & Atmospheric Science
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
cycloneye wrote:12z faster than 00z.
I am looking at the forecasted point for the same time period on last night's 0z run on weather.us and it is identical in timing, if anything it slows down a little bit Saturday morning and a bit further north and east.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
NDG wrote:Steve wrote:96 looks a little better defined @ 999mb and moving a bit faster as well - is 25 or so miles farther west than 00z and due south of Grand Isle
http://i68.tinypic.com/w9xiyr.jpg
Not when compared to last night's run.
Did for me when I ran the last/next unless I was supposed to compensate for the hours. Same for 120. Stronger, and farther south and west.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Steve wrote:96 looks a little better defined @ 999mb and moving a bit faster as well - is 25 or so miles farther west than 00z and due south of Grand Isle
http://i68.tinypic.com/w9xiyr.jpg
What time frame is this pic?
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- ColdMiser123
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
TrueWx shows 983 at landfall, a couple mb stronger than 0z, maybe 25 miles east.
Last edited by ColdMiser123 on Mon Jul 08, 2019 1:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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B.S., M.S., Meteorology & Atmospheric Science
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
TexWx wrote:Steve wrote:96 looks a little better defined @ 999mb and moving a bit faster as well - is 25 or so miles farther west than 00z and due south of Grand Isle
http://i68.tinypic.com/w9xiyr.jpg
What time frame is this pic?
120 hours Tex. That would be 5 days from 7am this morning on Saturday.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Steve wrote:NDG wrote:Steve wrote:96 looks a little better defined @ 999mb and moving a bit faster as well - is 25 or so miles farther west than 00z and due south of Grand Isle
http://i68.tinypic.com/w9xiyr.jpg
Not when compared to last night's run.
Did for me when I ran the last/next unless I was supposed to compensate for the hours. Same for 120. Stronger, and farther south and west.
http://i65.tinypic.com/15y67tk.jpg
When you do it through tropical tidbits it only compares it to yesterday's 12z run and not to last night's 0z run.
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