ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Steve]

Early casualty of the day was my shoes and socks. We got caught under a band that was moving NE/SW across the city. I waited about 20 minutes to leave the house. Started flooding about halfway to work. I jumped out the car, but the water running down the street was too deep to fight off. Streets were flooding already downtown, and we got a flash flood warning and tornado warning in the last few minutes. Looks like the main storm threat will be established a bit farther west as far as COC/winds, but we're probably going to be going through some heavy rains over the next few days. So flooding. on about 2-3" the last hour won't probably be the last of it. :/

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1148940787624767488

[Pearl River]

Sitting here at work by Lake Pontchartrain and it was really nasty. There were 2 waterspouts not too far from here.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1148942518031175680

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/DerekOrtt/status/1148943603160551424




 https://twitter.com/DerekOrtt/status/1148943974842949634

[SouthDadeFish]

I agree with wxman57. 92L still has a ways to go before it is classified as a TC. If convection can continue to fire to the south of the current surface center (where the mid-level center is located), it is possible we see a some sort of center reformation down there. In the meantime, the circulation is too broad to be considered a TC and too broad to see much intensification. That could change by as early as this evening though. It will be nice having recon out there.

[stormlover2013]

https://www.weatherbell.com/video/the-d ... e-670?full


Joe bastardi

[Steve]

https://www.weatherbell.com/video/the-daily-update-670?full


Joe bastardi

I watched that this morning. He's been hugging the European on this and continues to move his track accordingly. That's not a bad play, but he's jumped around over the last few days based on what its latest solution was.

[tarheelprogrammer]

I personally believe an LLC is taking shape at the spot marked with an x in the image below:

[NDG]

I personally believe an LLC is taking shape at the spot marked with an x in the image below:

https://i.ibb.co/cTpXQbm/ewrterter.png

IMO, that's the mid level circulation, the low level elongated broad circulation is to the north of if south of Panama City, is going to be a good 12-24 hrs before the both circulations get closer to each other.

[NDG]

https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1148940787624767488

This was the waterspout that was seen along the New Orleans Lakefront over Lake Pontchartrain. Watched it live on Fox 8

[tropicwatch]

I personally believe an LLC is taking shape at the spot marked with an x in the image below:

https://i.ibb.co/cTpXQbm/ewrterter.png

IMO, that's the mid level circulation, the low level elongated broad circulation is to the north of if south of Panama City, is going to be a good 12-24 hrs before the both circulations get closer to each other.

I agree NDG the wind in Panama City is coming from due east and the pressure is steady.

[stormlover2013]

From Levi -This is roughly where the centers of low-level and mid-level spin are in #92L.

Unknowns are how elongated the low-level center is toward the south. More elongation makes it more likely to get yanked down there by convection later today/tonight.

Recon planes today will help.

[cycloneye]

Here is Levi Cowan looking at the situation.

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1148945525066125315

[SoupBone]

Here is Levi Cowan looking at the situation.

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1148945525066125315

I know I saw it posted somewhere, but what are the recon times?

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Here is Levi Cowan looking at the situation.

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1148945525066125315

I know I saw it posted somewhere, but what are the recon times?

First recon is at 18z, or 2:00 PM.

[Aric Dunn]

Here is Levi Cowan looking at the situation.

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1148945525066125315

Unfortunately that little feature to the north has nothing rotate around it in comparison to the much much larger borader circ. So so that feature circled is rotating around something... it means something much more substantial is too the south... so yeah..

[MississippiWx]

Here is Levi Cowan looking at the situation.

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1148945525066125315

Unfortunately that little feature to the north has nothing rotate around it in comparison to the much much larger borader circ. So so that feature circled is rotating around something... it means something much more substantial is too the south... so yeah..

I'm thinking the area Levi circled for the low-level circulation is slowly being overtaken by an area to the south. It looks like it's becoming diffuse.

Side note: One thing I haven't seen is an outflow boundary. The environment is moist and this will help get everything going.

[NDG]

Here is Levi Cowan looking at the situation.

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1148945525066125315

I was just to post this, the X is the weak low pressure center that we have been tracking since yesterday afternoon, the O is the mid level circulation, they should get closer together later tonight or tomorrow SE or SSE of the mouth of the MS River.

[GCANE]

Latest multi-sat analysis.