ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cycloneye]

More from Levi.

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1148950333642686465




 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1148950344942215168

[GCANE]

Nice symmetrically divergence of the UL clouds in that area tagged by Multi-Sat as the LLC.

[NDG]

The 12z best track was sort of a compromise between the low level circulation and the mid level circulation. IMO.

[Nancy Smar]

AL, 02, 2019071012, , BEST, 0, 287N, 861W, 25, 1011, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 180, 80, 35, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, TWO, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 005, TRANSITIONED, alA22019 to al022019,

[Hypercane_Kyle]

AL, 02, 2019071012, , BEST, 0, 287N, 861W, 25, 1011, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 180, 80, 35, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, TWO, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 005, TRANSITIONED, alA22019 to al022019,

Looks like they're going to start running advisories on PTC2 at 11:00am.

[Aric Dunn]

HRRR has been doing well will the short term convection. What it does with the current low to mid level circ on radsr is interesting


https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1012&fh=-6

[duris]

It's bad in New Orleans right now. Flooding everywhere and just started heavy rain again. Afraid it's not gonna be pretty through "Barry". https://twitter.com/DylanFedericoWX/status/1148951142832988161

[stormlover2013]

Takes it on the sw track like ukmet

[Blinhart]

It's bad in New Orleans right now. Flooding everywhere and just started heavy rain again. Afraid it's not gonna be pretty through "Barry".https://twitter.com/DylanFedericoWX/status/1148951142832988161

We need to have an observation, warning, watches thread made, so we don't get too many of these in this forum

[MGC]

Looks to me that a circulation is present south of Destin. It is broad and poorly organized. I would not be surprised if the NHC postpones this afternoons recon. 92L should continue to slowly organize and should be a TD in the next 24 hours. Thinking top end TS or CAT-1 cane at landfall.....MGC

[GCANE]

LL inflow picking up - purple arrows.
Good symmetrical UL outflow - red arrows.
Correlates well with Multi-Sat LLC.

A lot of duck characteristics happening.

[TexasF6]

I think that center is coalescing south of where it is officially. Texas is nowhere near out of anybody's woods. Neither is Louisiana. My eyes only.











The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

[StormLogic]

I think that center is coalescing south of where it is officially. Texas is nowhere near out of anybody's woods. Neither is Louisiana. My eyes only.




The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Texas has been on my radar since mondays Euro. Im willing to bet more westerly trend is going to show its self in the next 12-24hrs.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/NWSNewOrleans/status/1148959810232246272

[Steve]

It's bad in New Orleans right now. Flooding everywhere and just started heavy rain again. Afraid it's not gonna be pretty through "Barry".https://twitter.com/DylanFedericoWX/status/1148951142832988161

We need to have an observation, warning, watches thread made, so we don't get too many of these in this forum

.
it's the only thing happening at the moment, so it doesn't bother me. Hell, I have one car flooded at home, and another one stuck on a median somewhere. This sucks already.

[Hurricane Andrew]

Looks to me that a circulation is present south of Destin. It is broad and poorly organized. I would not be surprised if the NHC postpones this afternoons recon. 92L should continue to slowly organize and should be a TD in the next 24 hours. Thinking top end TS or CAT-1 cane at landfall.....MGC

No way they postpone recon, they might cut a mission or two, but with the threat risk we already have, they want eyes in.

[SouthDadeFish]

That mid-level circ is starting to look quite vigorous... I'm keeping my eye on the area around 28N 87.2W.

[SoupBone]

Looks to me that a circulation is present south of Destin. It is broad and poorly organized. I would not be surprised if the NHC postpones this afternoons recon. 92L should continue to slowly organize and should be a TD in the next 24 hours. Thinking top end TS or CAT-1 cane at landfall.....MGC

With landfall being within such a short window, I can't imagine they cancel it.

[Nancy Smar]

Special Message from NHC Issued 10 Jul 2019 14:27 UTC
NHC will initiate advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two at 10 am CDT.

[cycloneye]

NHC will initiate advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two at 10 am CDT.