ATL: BARRY - Models

[TheStormExpert]

06z Euro has shifted back to the right, south central LA.

https://i.imgur.com/2oPloCk.png

And weaker.

[crimi481]

The new Euro change may imply a stall - or more s. track - then to n.e. Looks blocked on all sides - but not south?
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=c ... =undefined

[davidiowx]

[Blinhart]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT02/refresh/AL022019_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/143913_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

I don't like that at all, looks like I might have to do some work around the yard, damn.

[Siker]

Alright y'all it's 3K NAM apocalypse time!

EDIT: Now a world record low pressure prediction.

[ColdMiser123]

Looks like the strongest NAM 12k run yet, sub 990 southwest of Houston. It's finally seeing the pressure falls with the MLC center because of latent heat release.

First off the charts NAM 3k run as well.

[davidiowx]

It's the NAM, yea yea.... but this 12z run is terrible for Houston..

[ColdMiser123]

Alright y'all it's 3K NAM apocalypse time!

EDIT: Now a world record low pressure prediction.

https://i.imgur.com/tH5gYP6.png

That might even be lower than some of the extreme sub 900 mb runs it had for Harvey and Michael.

[Hurricane Andrew]

Alright y'all it's 3K NAM apocalypse time!

EDIT: Now a world record low pressure prediction.

https://i.imgur.com/tH5gYP6.png

That might even be lower than some of the extreme sub 900 mb runs it had for Harvey and Michael.

Nothing beats the HWRF 7XXmb runs it had for that one WPAC storm last year.

I was worried I'd end up stuck in a library with Jake Gyllenhaal.

[MississippiWx]

Pretty much every model shows quick strengthening beginning tomorrow.

[tarheelprogrammer]

Alright y'all it's 3K NAM apocalypse time!

EDIT: Now a world record low pressure prediction.

https://i.imgur.com/tH5gYP6.png

Unrealistic, but has there ever been a sub 900 mb storm in the GOM? What about the Atlantic?

[MississippiWx]

Alright y'all it's 3K NAM apocalypse time!

EDIT: Now a world record low pressure prediction.

https://i.imgur.com/tH5gYP6.png

Unrealistic, but has there ever been a sub 900 mb storm in the GOM? What about the Atlantic?

Wilma at 882mb in Caribbean. Rita might have been sub-900mb in the Gulf.

Forgot about Allen and Gilbert as well.

[Siker]

Alright y'all it's 3K NAM apocalypse time!

EDIT: Now a world record low pressure prediction.

https://i.imgur.com/tH5gYP6.png

Unrealistic, but has there ever been a sub 900 mb storm in the GOM? What about the Atlantic?

Rita and Labor Day 1935 in the Gulf. Others include Allen, Gilbert, Wilma in the Caribbean.

[facemane]

Alright y'all it's 3K NAM apocalypse time!

EDIT: Now a world record low pressure prediction.

https://i.imgur.com/tH5gYP6.png

Unrealistic, but has there ever been a sub 900 mb storm in the GOM? What about the Atlantic?

Wilma I believe was 882

[W8NC4TX]

Alright y'all it's 3K NAM apocalypse time!

EDIT: Now a world record low pressure prediction.

https://i.imgur.com/tH5gYP6.png

Unrealistic, but has there ever been a sub 900 mb storm in the GOM? What about the Atlantic?

Hurricane Rita hit 895 in the gulf, if memory serves..

[Ubuntwo]

Alright y'all it's 3K NAM apocalypse time!

EDIT: Now a world record low pressure prediction.

https://i.imgur.com/tH5gYP6.png

Unrealistic, but has there ever been a sub 900 mb storm in the GOM? What about the Atlantic?

Yeah, Rita and Allen

[TorSkk]

[zhukm29]

[Shell Mound]

Alright y'all it's 3K NAM apocalypse time!

EDIT: Now a world record low pressure prediction.

https://i.imgur.com/tH5gYP6.png

Unrealistic, but has there ever been a sub 900 mb storm in the GOM? What about the Atlantic?

Wilma at 882mb. Rita might have been sub-900mb in the Gulf as well.

Forgot about Allen and Gilbert as well.

A cordial correction: Wilma and Gilbert attained their respective minimum pressures over the western Caribbean, not the Gulf. Allen attained its minimum over the Yucatán Channel. According to official records in HURDAT, Rita is the only recorded tropical cyclone since 1851 to have attained a minimum pressure below 900 mb while over the Gulf of Mexico. Undoubtedly, there have been many other cases that have gone unrecorded, possibly including Camille in 1969, which may have dipped below 900 mb between (sparse) reconnaissance passes.

Edit: Thank you for the clarification. I had no intention to argue.

[MississippiWx]

Unrealistic, but has there ever been a sub 900 mb storm in the GOM? What about the Atlantic?

Wilma at 882mb. Rita might have been sub-900mb in the Gulf as well.

Forgot about Allen and Gilbert as well.

A cordial correction: Wilma and Gilbert attained their respective minimum pressures over the western Caribbean, not the Gulf. Allen attained its minimum over the Yucatán Channel. According to official records in HURDAT, Rita is the only recorded tropical cyclone since 1851 to have attained a minimum pressure below 900 mb while over the Gulf of Mexico. Undoubtedly, there have been many other cases that have gone unrecorded, possibly including Camille in 1969, which may have dipped below 900 mb between (sparse) reconnaissance passes.

I wasn't saying that Wilma was 882mb in the Gulf. I just meant it was one that had gone sub-900.

I can remember Wilma with that pinhole eye in the NW Caribbean like it was yesterday. Just unreal.