ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cycloneye]

ATCF updated the 18z Best Track:

Location: 28.3°N 87.0°W
Maximum Winds: 25 kt Gusts: nan kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1011 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1014 mb
Radius of Circulation: 180 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 80 NM

[wxman57]

There is one NW wind out there now. Very weak, though. Looks like the disturbance is slowly organizing, but it's not yet a tropical depression. Maybe in another 12 hours or so. Still lacks a well-defined surface circulation.

[NDG]

There is one NW wind out there now. Very weak, though. Looks like the disturbance is slowly organizing, but it's not yet a tropical depression. Maybe in another 12 hours or so.

http://wxman57.com/images/92Lh.JPG

I totally agree!!!!

[sphelps8681]

Guy on the weather channel just said east tx/la direct impact. Correct me if I am wrong if you heard this as well.

[psyclone]

We need a dmax convective burst for liftoff. The broad structure is there.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1149043504544440320

[GCANE]

As a side note, popups firing off across the panhandle as expected.
Should feed a lot of moisture into this overnight.

[galvbay]

Live webcam shot from Bolivar Beach looking east towards La over the GOM


https://www.bolivarpeninsulatexas.com/W ... rise-Beach





Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

[NDG]

Looking at the big picture, the broad COC is very noticeable on sat loop, where the 18z Best Track is. The low level little eddies rotating around it are nothing more than that. Give it time, a defined LLC will eventually form near the H85 & H70 vorticity when convection re-fire later tonight or tomorrow morning.

[Aric Dunn]

This pass from recon is looking good.

[cycloneye]

NOAA P-3 plane departed so there are two missions out there.

[tropicwatch]

Looking at the satellite and thinking, this could end up being a fairly large system area wise. It is already affecting 300 miles of coastline.

[ColdMiser123]

This pass from recon is looking good.

Looks like they are checking on the low level wind shift they found earlier close to the MLC.

[johngaltfla]

Yeah insaw that. Lol

I does this potential center compare to what the models are using?

About 50 miles south of the models

If confirmed, that ain't good.

[cycloneye]

Hurricane Watch issued

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.1N 87.4W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM ESE OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

The Storm Surge Watch has been extended westward to Intracoastal
City Louisiana.

A Hurricane Watch has been issued from the Mouth of the Mississippi
River westward to Cameron Louisiana.

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from north of the Mouth of
the Mississippi River to the Mouth of the Pearl River.

[Aric Dunn]

you can see that vort they passed through on sat. there is also another on sat just to the west of that too.

[SoupBone]

[Michele B]

Agreed! Personally, for me, the ability to watch in real time, and learn here from pros and non pros alike, helps to reduce anxiety I would have had otherwise, as well. Having all of this access and information at our fingertips is awesome and is great in situations like this where we don't really know what this storm is doing.

Way off topic..

But I remember a time being a small kid in Sarasota Florida and we really did not have much of a heads up on when these were coming, where they were going. The weather channel and cable TV wasn't around then and generally you had to wait for the newspaper the next day to get an update..IF they deemed it was important enough. All you generally knew is a storm was forming, and you literally had to keep an eye on the Barometric pressure gauge

Now newspapers have disappeared and we get info every second from the NOAA

You are correct, of course. Newspapers only once (or twice, I remember) a day, only gave you coordinates about storms once a day! I lived in Miami, so hurricane central, in terms of ME (as a small kid) thinking ALL hurricanes would take aim on us! LOL

I did love plotting those on a "hurricane map," though! I guess I was always a bit of a hurricane/nerd.

[MississippiWx]

https://imgur.com/sqjoAww

NHC is still well west of the TVCN with their updated track. The NHC doesn't shift tracks wildly which is smart. However, the TVCN is 100 miles east of the NHC's 4pm track.

[Michele B]

Yes, this is still a disorganized mess and not stacked. Gonna be tonight probably before an upgrade.

Oh, I HATE these "we'll know more in another day or two" scenarios.

Not picking on YOU, jason, just saying, in light of earlier convo about "can't really seeing something yet"....it just seems like we spend a lot of time playing the waiting game with storms nowadays....

Maybe it's just because we all want to "call them" way sooner than technology could make possible just a few years ago.

And when I think about how much more information we are all able to process/discuss/understand/view - it's pretty amazing, really. I know there are probably several promets on these boards, but some (like ME!) are just novices who have an interest in all this, but a lot of it still goes over my head. But I enjoy knowing what I know - being able to learn more about their formation, etc.

I appreciate all the input from those way more knowledgeable than I.