ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[SoupBone]

Here's a sat pic with surface obs. Can see the center where the red crosshairs are. That's where recon found it, though it's not well-defined yet. Farther north center means farther east landfall. Might miss Vermilion Bay to the east.

http://wxman57.com/images/92Lj.JPG

Can you imagine the GFS Legacy being the model that wins the prize? Joking, of course.

[Dean4Storms]

Still disorganized and running out of time, just not buying a Hurricane.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Convection to the west of the CoC needs to chill before this can get its act together. Some convection firing off near the center now, but this looks ugly at the moment.

As far as where it's going, it looks like the models are trending toward the Legacy GFS

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1149306129937240066

[Aric Dunn]

The souther vort is rotating se and shiuld gain some energy as the ither dies later. So now we wait some more..

[BYG Jacob]

Convection to the west of the CoC needs to chill before this can get its act together. Some convection firing off near the center now, but this looks ugly at the moment.

As far as where it's going, it looks like the models are trending toward the Legacy GFS

Next we’re gonna retire the CLIPR and get accurate runs outta that.

[BYG Jacob]

Convection to the west of the CoC needs to chill before this can get its act together. Some convection firing off near the center now, but this looks ugly at the moment.

As far as where it's going, it looks like the models are trending toward the Legacy GFS

Next we’re gonna fire up the CLIPR and get accurate runs outta that.

[tarheelprogrammer]

The souther vort is rotating se and shiuld gain some energy as the ither dies later. So now we wait some more..

What southern vort are you referring to?

[Nancy Smar]

AL, 02, 2019071112, , BEST, 0, 277N, 885W, 30, 1005, TD

[StormLogic]

AL, 02, 2019071112, , BEST, 0, 277N, 885W, 30, 1005, TD

TD!?

[SEASON_CANCELED]

AL, 02, 2019071112, , BEST, 0, 277N, 885W, 30, 1005, TD

TD!?

yes

[Nancy Smar]

AL, 02, 2019071112, , BEST, 0, 277N, 885W, 30, 1005, TD

TD!?

Yes.

[gfsperpendicular]

AL, 02, 2019071112, , BEST, 0, 277N, 885W, 30, 1005, TD

1005?

[davidiowx]

AL, 02, 2019071112, , BEST, 0, 277N, 885W, 30, 1005, TD

1005?

Yes.

[gfsperpendicular]

AL, 02, 2019071112, , BEST, 0, 277N, 885W, 30, 1005, TD

TD!?

Yes.

Are PTCs put into the best track as TD or INVEST?

[StormLogic]

I guess we can call him TDB now instead of PTC2

[sphelps8681]

If this system does become an actual storm will it still go north toward NOLA or will stay west longer.

[Dean4Storms]

You can clearly see the center well south in this long range radar out of Mobile......https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=MOB&loop=yes

[HurricaneEnzo]

First TD of the season since Andrea went straight to STS. Is the thinking still weaker storm further east stronger storm further west?

[wxman57]

I can see 3 different vortices rotating around a point. Of note is that in the SW quadrant of the storm where recon found 30-35 kt SFMR winds, there are two buoys right on the flight path reporting 15-20 kt winds. I still don't trust those SFMR winds...