ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[gfsperpendicular]

look too me center now reform those storms area due west of tampa bay

I think you're right. The eddy that it spit out detached from the convection as far as I can tell.

[Javlin]

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_US/animwv.html

8 hour water vapor loop

Looks like the end of the dry air "cutoff"

[weunice]

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1149128363950465024




For my local reference, I am in Denham Springs, LA where 2016 is the high water measure (literally) for stuff like this. We had a precipitable water measurement of 2.78" in New Orleans during that flood event that was "near record levels" for the time. 3-3.5" is going to be catastrophic wherever this sets up.

[KimmieLa]

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1149128363950465024

For my local reference, I am in Denham Springs, LA where 2016 is the high water measure (literally) for stuff like this. We had a measurement of 2.78" in New Orleans during that flood event that was "near record levels" for the time. 3-3.5" is going to be catastrophic wherever this sets up.

I also live in your area. What measurement was 2.78 in 2016? TIA!

[BigB0882]

It is horrifying how close the Euro is to putting those insane totals right over where the 2016 flood happened. We are talking a difference of 25-40 miles and with this storm you can not zero in on landfall yet when normally you could.

[weunice]

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1149128363950465024

For my local reference, I am in Denham Springs, LA where 2016 is the high water measure (literally) for stuff like this. We had a measurement of 2.78" in New Orleans during that flood event that was "near record levels" for the time. 3-3.5" is going to be catastrophic wherever this sets up.

I also live in your area. What measurement was 2.78 in 2016? TIA!

I should have clarified in my original post - precipitable water was measured at 2.78" in New Orleans during the 2016 event. Obviously rain totals were much higher.

[Aric Dunn]

This current vort is about to start diving south as well..

[mpic]

Is there an estimated timeline when Barry will turn north?

[PTrackerLA]

I just checked the Louisana loop on the weathernodels site for PW and it maxes out at 4.16" once inland somewhere east of Lafayette. That's downright scary and I didn't even know that was possible. I would spend nearly 10 hours in 3.0" + PW values so that's unsettling. I wonder if that's common under a TC because I've seen the scale max out several times for hurricanes before just never thought too much of it. I moved into my home last year and know it didnt flood in 2016 but water got dangerously close to my front door in June during a 4" in an hour deluge (same system that flooded BR that day.) I have a hydrodam for my front door coming in from Amazon tomorrow and I felt silly earlier today but now I'm glad I purchased it . Let's hope the epic amounts set up over the Atchafalaya basin/marshes.

[HeeBGBz]

Local tv weather guy said he didn't think we would see much effect from Barry.
Talking about Ms gulf coast.

[mcheer23]

Looks like it strengthened to 50 mph...we’ll see shortly.

[USTropics]

Is there an estimated timeline when Barry will turn north?

With weak steering currents, expect some stair stepping action through tomorrow evening. The GFS and ECMWF have a more northern component beginning in roughly 24 hours (Friday evening). Meanwhile, the UKMET (an outlier at this time) delays any true northern movement until late on Saturday evening.

As always, follow the NHC official track (which closely resembles the ECMWF/GFS mean):

[tolakram]

Nighttime view http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=3&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=conus&p%5B0%5D=eumetsat_nighttime_microphysics&x=4486&y=5432

[Aric Dunn]

Nighttime view http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=3&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=conus&p%5B0%5D=eumetsat_nighttime_microphysics&x=4486&y=5432

Is this 3d to anyone else .. or am i seeing things ? lol

[tropicwatch]

Nighttime view http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=3&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=conus&p%5B0%5D=eumetsat_nighttime_microphysics&x=4486&y=5432

The shortwave loop shows the center pretty good too.
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=3&im=18&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=80&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=full_disk&p%5B0%5D=band_07&x=8023.19970703125&y=5090.52001953125

[Hammy]

Nighttime view http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=3&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=conus&p%5B0%5D=eumetsat_nighttime_microphysics&x=4486&y=5432

Is this 3d to anyone else .. or am i seeing things ? lol

I'm seeing the same, it's kind of trippy.

[Aric Dunn]

Nighttime view http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=3&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=conus&p%5B0%5D=eumetsat_nighttime_microphysics&x=4486&y=5432

Is this 3d to anyone else .. or am i seeing things ? lol

I'm seeing the same, it's kind of trippy.

ok just making sure lol

though this can be actually super helpful for those trying to fugure out what layer they are looking at..

[SouthFloridawx]

Is this 3d to anyone else .. or am i seeing things ? lol

I'm seeing the same, it's kind of trippy.

ok just making sure lol
though this can be actually super helpful for those trying to fugure out what layer they are looking at..

I was thinking Stranger Things

[AutoPenalti]

OT but found this kind of weird that TV Guide has The Weather Channel live coverage as Irma.

[PTrackerLA]

10pm advisory up to 50mph 1001mb and no longer forecast to become a hurricane peak is 70mph. Track looks very close to previous.