ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1261 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:04 am

Shear is increasing right now. I see the shear hammer about to come down on this storm on visible satellite to the NW of the center. Clearly see the clouds going SE towards the storm. That could funnel in more dry air and stop the consolidation that is currently taking place, just in time. Hoping it will anyways.
Last edited by tarheelprogrammer on Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:10 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1262 Postby GCANE » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:06 am

Aric Dunn wrote:Recon should come up right through the stronger "center" by far..


Last fix was 28.04N 90.12W.
Money is on it being south of that.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1263 Postby SoupBone » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:06 am

jasons wrote:It’s hard to believe the Lake Charles radar is virtually clear.


It's really amazing. Sitting here looking at the birds eye view and realizing how close it is to Houston but nothing happening here.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1264 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:10 am

GCANE wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Recon should come up right through the stronger "center" by far..


Last fix was 28.04N 90.12W.
Money is on it being south of that.


yeah I have it at 27.72M 90.2W ish
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1265 Postby Steve » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:12 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
GCANE wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Recon should come up right through the stronger "center" by far..


Last fix was 28.04N 90.12W.
Money is on it being south of that.


yeah I have it at 27.72M 90.2W ish


That's around where I see it too, but it seems like the NHC mentions that as a higher in the atmosphere center (460mb so +/- 20,500 feet about?)

Also not an eye, but if this is the center, it's showing up.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir
Last edited by Steve on Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:15 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1266 Postby Blinhart » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:13 am

tarheelprogrammer wrote:Shear is increasing right now. I see the shear hammer about to come down on this storm on visible satellite to the NW of the center. Clearly see the clouds going SE towards the storm. That could funnel in more dry air and stop the consolidation that is currently taking place, just in time. Hoping it will anyways.


Is that shear or is that the storm being fed from there, and I also don't see any dry air anywhere around the Gulf Coast to be fed into this system.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1267 Postby mpic » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:15 am

SoupBone wrote:
jasons wrote:It’s hard to believe the Lake Charles radar is virtually clear.


It's really amazing. Sitting here looking at the birds eye view and realizing how close it is to Houston but nothing happening here.


A lot of PTSD should subside by tonight. With all the road construction coming out of Galveston, it's a good thing that it didn't come in here.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1268 Postby GCANE » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:18 am

Intensifying quickly

Image
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1269 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:20 am

pressure is down more.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1270 Postby Siker » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:20 am

tarheelprogrammer wrote:Shear is increasing right now. I see the shear hammer about to come down on this storm on visible satellite to the NW of the center. Clearly see the clouds going SE towards the storm. That could funnel in more dry air and stop the consolidation that is currently taking place, just in time. Hoping it will anyways.


Don't see any evidence of shear on that side. Those are mainly low level clouds wrapped in the broad circulation of Barry. Certainly still drier up there than down south as evidenced by the lack of storm activity, but nothing to completely halt intensification.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1271 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:22 am

If you look at the WV loop you can see the cirrus expanding on all sides from the center. There isnt much in the way of shear right now

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... uct=wv-mid
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1272 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:25 am

Has the center been tucked into convection, it is hard to tell on visible?
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1273 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:28 am

tarheelprogrammer wrote:Has the center been tucked into convection, it is hard to tell on visible?

Mostly but not all the way, MLC is still displaced south of the LLC
Last edited by Hurricaneman on Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1274 Postby MississippiWx » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:28 am

tarheelprogrammer wrote:Has the center been tucked into convection, it is hard to tell on visible?


Probably still displaced to the north a bit. If one of these vorts can take over underneath that convection and feedback on it, the storm will strengthen more quickly.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1275 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:29 am

994mb...
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1276 Postby Nederlander » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:29 am

tarheelprogrammer wrote:Has the center been tucked into convection, it is hard to tell on visible?

Looking at IR, it might be slightly tilted with the llc just slightly north of the mlc (where the convection is firing).
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1277 Postby WacoWx » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:29 am

Looks like the center is exposed to me.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1278 Postby ColdMiser123 » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:31 am

Sharp increase in flight level wind significantly closer to the center with this pass compared to the last pass.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1279 Postby ColdMiser123 » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:32 am

There was also a core temperature spike this pass corresponding to the lowest extrapolated pressures. Looks like Barry is deepening.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1280 Postby MississippiWx » Fri Jul 12, 2019 10:32 am

ColdMiser123 wrote:Sharp increase in flight level wind significantly closer to the center with this pass compared to the last pass.


Yeah, that's very important. Not nearly as broad. 4mb drop in the past hour is not too shabby.
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