https://twitter.com/dylanfedericowx/status/1155578114694664192
Tropical Wave SW of Cabo Verde Islands: (Is Invest 96L)
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Dylan
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Re: Tropical Wave emerging West Africa
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
From 8 PM TWD:
A tropical wave is along 16W, from 17N southward along the African
coast. The wave is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate
to strong convection is noted from 07N-17N extending 300 nm on
either side of the wave. At this time, the scattered moderate
strong convection is affecting Senegal, the coast of Guinea and
Guinea- Bissau.
coast. The wave is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate
to strong convection is noted from 07N-17N extending 300 nm on
either side of the wave. At this time, the scattered moderate
strong convection is affecting Senegal, the coast of Guinea and
Guinea- Bissau.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
I have a feeling looking at everything that we are going to see a strong Vort on visible in the morning popping out. may try to make a run for development before the shear keeps up.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
USTropics wrote:https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1155614475858391040
yeppers.... I hope no one will be surprised in the morning...
even if it does close off and develop now it will get sheared from the east for many days. but it will increase redevelopment as it approaches the islands quite a bit.
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gatorcane
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
Looks pretty impressive with cyclonic rotation clearly evident:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... t=vis-swir
Note the Euro keeps the vorticity in tact all the way through the 10 day run and it gets a bit stronger near the islands. I have a feeling we will be watching it for a while.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... t=vis-swir
Note the Euro keeps the vorticity in tact all the way through the 10 day run and it gets a bit stronger near the islands. I have a feeling we will be watching it for a while.
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NotSparta
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
On the NHC site there's a GENESIS system meaning they are looking at it. Likely, the NHC is waiting for development to get w/in 120 hours to put any chances on it
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This post was probably an opinion of mine, and in no way is official. Please refer to http://www.hurricanes.gov for official tropical analysis and advisories.
My website, with lots of tropical wx graphics, including satellite and recon: http://cyclonicwx.com
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
Looking at Euro and tracking 850mb vort, it seems it is onto this one.
Good closed circulation on the coast.
Opens it up at about 40W.
Then starts to close it back up at 50W.
Takes it over PR and spins it up in the Bahamas.
Good closed circulation on the coast.
Opens it up at about 40W.
Then starts to close it back up at 50W.
Takes it over PR and spins it up in the Bahamas.
Last edited by GCANE on Mon Jul 29, 2019 3:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
Looking at IR, massive convection south of 10N with obvious cyclonic circulation.
Mid-level circulation very broad and convective debris creating a large-area moisture envelop around this, washing out SAL.
Mid-level circulation very broad and convective debris creating a large-area moisture envelop around this, washing out SAL.
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
From Alan Brammer's site.
I suggest we tag this Wave 726357
I suggest we tag this Wave 726357
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
Looks very impressive on morning vis. Might be quickly trying to make a run easterly shear is coming though..
And ascat is still having a black out zone in that area lol
And ascat is still having a black out zone in that area lol
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
Ummm.. so yeah I wish there was a good ascat pass. .. at least from sat we have a closed and approaching a well defined tight circ with convection slowly building around it. Quite impressive considering..
Shear has picked up but that is not a requirement for genesis.
Amazed there is not even a mention of it..
Shear has picked up but that is not a requirement for genesis.
Amazed there is not even a mention of it..
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
Aric Dunn wrote:Ummm.. so yeah I wish there was a good ascat pass. .. at least from sat we have a closed and approaching a well defined tight circ with convection slowly building around it. Quite impressive considering..
Shear has picked up but that is not a requirement for genesis.
Amazed there is not even a mention of it..
If I guess why,it may be that is beyond 5 days the development per Euro.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
They say Potent in the 8 AM TWD.
A potent eastern Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 19W, from
18N southward, moving W at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is noted from 08N-10N between 17W-22W. Elsewhere from
07N-15N between 15W-25W, isolated to scattered moderate
convection is present. The wave is well-marked by 700 mb trough
diagnostics, and large scale curvature is noted in satellite
imagery.
18N southward, moving W at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is noted from 08N-10N between 17W-22W. Elsewhere from
07N-15N between 15W-25W, isolated to scattered moderate
convection is present. The wave is well-marked by 700 mb trough
diagnostics, and large scale curvature is noted in satellite
imagery.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Tropical Wave just off African Coast
cycloneye wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:Ummm.. so yeah I wish there was a good ascat pass. .. at least from sat we have a closed and approaching a well defined tight circ with convection slowly building around it. Quite impressive considering..
Shear has picked up but that is not a requirement for genesis.
Amazed there is not even a mention of it..
If I guess why,it may be that is beyond 5 days the development per Euro.
Yes it makes sense just following the models.. but I am talking about currently... lol
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Tropical Wave off African Coast
Are they just hoping it falls apart right away lol
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