2019 WPAC Season

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Hayabusa
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#341 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Jul 25, 2019 2:09 pm

Image
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#342 Postby euro6208 » Fri Jul 26, 2019 6:02 am

Hayabusa wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Hayabusa wrote:If it's the satellite graphic they do this sometimes and then the next thing switches back to their previous style satellite graphic, that is if that's really the one that looked odd.


The Indian Ocean sat pic is of the eastern North Atlantic and South Atlantic. "No Suspect Areas" is located in the South Atlantic.



If only JTWC also issues warning and discussion of Atlantic storms. I would love to read one from them.
:cheesy:


JTWC again validates itself as the world's most popular agency. It's followers span all ocean basins except the NATL.
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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#343 Postby euro6208 » Fri Jul 26, 2019 6:50 am

GFS now in agreement on the SCS system that EURO has.

00Z

Image

06Z

Image
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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#344 Postby euro6208 » Fri Jul 26, 2019 6:53 am

EURO is not too aggressive on the other GFS systems.

Image
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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#345 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jul 29, 2019 7:04 pm

Image
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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#346 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jul 29, 2019 7:15 pm

92W Thread

Up for SCS system.
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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#347 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jul 29, 2019 7:18 pm

93W Thread

GFS's strong phantom storm.
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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#348 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jul 29, 2019 7:31 pm

GFS has 3-4 TC's developing including a strong typhoon that originates from the P.I sea. Deepens it to 940's mb.

EURO develops one and is this P.I storm. 980's mb peak.

Anywhere from Taiwan to Japan is at risk.
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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#349 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 30, 2019 7:28 am

94W Thread

Up for P.I sea system. Models makes this quite strong.
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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#350 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 30, 2019 7:32 am

GFS has a few more TC's, 2-3, including a monster typhoon it has been trying to developing the last 2 runs striking near Hong Kong.

The other quite strong too developing in the outer periphery of 94W.
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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#351 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 30, 2019 7:41 am

Very robust monsoon trough from west of the Philippines through north of the Marianas that will bring unsettling weather.
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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#352 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 30, 2019 8:12 am

[youtube]https://youtu.be/c6eYVVaVt9Y[/youtube]
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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#353 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 30, 2019 9:26 pm

GFS continues with the explosion...

Image
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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#354 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 30, 2019 9:27 pm

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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#355 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 30, 2019 9:32 pm

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euro6208

Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#356 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 30, 2019 9:33 pm

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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#357 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Jul 30, 2019 10:56 pm

I'd be wary of the multiple intense typhoons in the GFS predictions. When there's an abundance of upward motion with the monsoon trough, it can lead to some weird solutions in guidance, especially this time of year. The WPac finally looks like it'll see some sort of uptick in activity, but some solutions are probably overdoing it. ECMWF solutions look a little more reasonable to me, although I wouldn't be surprised to see whichever storm becomes dominant become a little stronger.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#358 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:06 am

[Tweet]https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1156437756387549184?s=20[/Tweet]
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#359 Postby NotSparta » Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:43 am



Removed ending string, S2K doesn't like that for tweet links
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season

#360 Postby doomhaMwx » Wed Jul 31, 2019 12:24 pm

1900hurricane wrote:I'd be wary of the multiple intense typhoons in the GFS predictions. When there's an abundance of upward motion with the monsoon trough, it can lead to some weird solutions in guidance, especially this time of year. The WPac finally looks like it'll see some sort of uptick in activity, but some solutions are probably overdoing it. ECMWF solutions look a little more reasonable to me, although I wouldn't be surprised to see whichever storm becomes dominant become a little stronger.

Heh yes, indeed. This is the issue that I was interested to see if it has been resolved in the new GFS. Apparently, the issue still persists :lol: .
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