crownweather wrote:jconsor wrote:No guarantee -NAO will continue beyond mid-Aug. Euro weeklies and CFS both suggest neutral to positive NAO returns second half of Aug.TheStormExpert wrote::uarrow: With this kind of pattern everything should track safely offshore the east coast either between the east coast and Bermuda or east of that.
May have to watch to see how things play out come late-September into October for Western Caribbean development that could potentially threaten the U.S. thanks to the -NAO.
Also, no guarantee that a tropical system will safely move offshore while moving along the East Coast. A deep enough trough oriented "the right way" could easily pull a system northward into the Northeast US or Atlantic Canada even with a -NAO.
Yup.