Tropical Wave South of the CV Islands

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Hurricaneman
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Tropical Wave South of the CV Islands

#1 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Aug 01, 2019 11:12 am

The models seem to be slowly picking up on this wave, could be the one that develops instead of 96L
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TheStormExpert

Re: Tropical Wave South of the CV Islands

#2 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Aug 01, 2019 12:07 pm

That’s what I was seeing too on the 12z GFS.
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Re: Tropical Wave South of the CV Islands

#3 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Aug 01, 2019 12:26 pm

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1156978590350827526


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Re: Tropical Wave South of the CV Islands

#4 Postby AJC3 » Thu Aug 01, 2019 1:35 pm

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
203 PM EDT Thu Aug 1 2019

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is between Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands along
21W from 02N-16N, moving W at 15-20 kt. A 1013 mb low pressure is
noted along the wave axis near 11N22W. Scattered moderate convection
is from 07N- 10N between 21W-27W.
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Re: Tropical Wave South of the CV Islands

#5 Postby CyclonicFury » Thu Aug 01, 2019 1:41 pm

The 12z ECMWF develops this more than 96L.
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
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Re: Tropical Wave South of the CV Islands

#6 Postby DioBrando » Thu Aug 01, 2019 1:42 pm

CyclonicFury wrote:The 12z ECMWF develops this more than 96L.

Eddy 1996 analog any time soon?
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Re: Tropical Wave South of the CV Islands

#7 Postby Siker » Thu Aug 01, 2019 1:55 pm

Stellar structure at the moment. Shear won’t be too awful east of the Caribbean if 96L doesn’t develop, unless there’s a big SAL outbreak behind it.
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Re: Tropical Wave South of the CV Islands

#8 Postby DioBrando » Thu Aug 01, 2019 1:59 pm

Siker wrote:Stellar structure at the moment. Shear won’t be too awful east of the Caribbean if 96L doesn’t develop, unless there’s a big SAL outbreak behind it.

any analogs, potentially?
(I really hope we get something like Eddy in 1996, happy, bubbly little fishie that was a major)
Or Gert (1999 version)
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