Ukmet develops cyclone in W.Carribean

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Vortex
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Ukmet develops cyclone in W.Carribean

#1 Postby Vortex » Mon Oct 20, 2003 2:06 pm

The ukmet develops a tropical cyclone over the SW carribean beyond 72 hours. By saturday it moves the system slowly NW just off the coast of Honduras while strengthening. At H-120 it has a strong ridge off the carolinas and a strengthening storm over the western carribean.
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#2 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Oct 20, 2003 2:07 pm

Like I said before BINGO....
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Hey

#3 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Oct 20, 2003 2:14 pm

Hey Vortex, where do you find a UKMET run that works...?
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from accuweather

#4 Postby Vortex » Mon Oct 20, 2003 2:48 pm

pay site...ukmet at h-120.

http://proa.accuweather.com/adcbin/prof ... 0heights(m)/Sea%20Level%20Pressure(mb)&hr=120&map=namerica&gv0=A
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 20, 2003 2:54 pm

http://www.met-office.gov.uk/sec2/sec2c ... wtnt80.txt

Here are the positions of the UKMET model for the caribbean.Scroll down the link and you will see them.But let's see if next runs they are consistent.
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#6 Postby Steve H. » Mon Oct 20, 2003 3:26 pm

Sorry if I double post, but accidentally put in as new topic (don't think it took. GFS 12Z TC model shows a low in the SW Caribbean moving NE to a poksition in the SE BAhamas, and getting trapped under a huge ridge building across the CONUS. Think the ridge is overdone a bit, but we'll have to wait again for future runs. Least many models are showing development in the western Caribbean. :wink:
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