Ubuntwo wrote:This thing has pretty strong vorticity. When it emerges off the OBX, it should be in a ribbon of low shear with ~28 degree SSTs. By far the biggest inhibiting factor seems to be dry air, with GFS forecasted RH around 50% for the western side of the system.
Looks like it could form similarly to Claudette in 2015 or Bonnie's regeneration in 2016. Both were also fairly small as they emerged from the Outer Banks.