cycloneye wrote:I will say this about the models and that is they have been pathetic in 2019 being with different scenarios each model and because this wave so far has not been picked strongly by the models and because of the 2019 debacle among them,this wave has to be watched given it's almost late August and climo is a big factor.
I agree. I have this feeling that when something significant finally forms from one of these waves, the models won’t show it until it is more in the medium range. So it is important to track the 850mb vort to see where the wave may go and watch if models pick it up for genesis potential in a future run. It could even be a scenario where one run shows nothing and the next run shows something significant.
