Tropical Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands= Is INVEST 99L

[Hurricaneman]

The 0zGFS is showing this becoming a legit tropical system at least a mid range tropical storm, may need to keep an eye on it as it nears the Lesser Antilles

[cycloneye]

00 GFS has the wave in central Atlantic down to 1005 mb in 54 hours

Update 1002 mb 66 hours

Moved your post to this thread for that wave.

[Hurricaneman]

This system also seems to be popping convection and maintaining it also which means this may develop instead of the wave near Africa

[AtlanticWind]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 200&fh=168

Close to hurricane at 168 hours

[Hurricaneman]

Looks like the TUTT is waiting for this past 192 on the GFS

[AtlanticWind]

Looks like the TUTT is waiting for this past 192 on the GFS

Yes, and really a slow mover on this run

[Hurricaneman]

I think what the GFS is showing is possible development within 48 hrs, if the Euro shows it it could be lemoned

[Kingarabian]

FWIW the 00z CMC doesn't have anything still. So I'm assuming the 00z Euro wont have anything since theyve been closely following each other this season.

[Hammy]

GFS is just throwing darts at every disturbance on the hopes that it gets one right. Don't see support from any other model at the moment.

[MetroMike]

GFS is just throwing darts at every disturbance on the hopes that it gets one right. Don't see support from any other model at the moment.

Have to wait until the other models run the 0z and see.

[AtlanticWind]

GFS is just throwing darts at every disturbance on the hopes that it gets one right. Don't see support from any other model at the moment.

We will know pretty quickly if the GFS is on to anything as it starts to develop this in just 48 or so hours

[colbroe]

Seems like this system has some potential it now has 1012 low attached to it

[AutoPenalti]

Won’t develop if that TUTT is not budging. It will shear it to pieces.

[NotSparta]

Won’t develop if that TUTT is not budging. It will shear it to pieces.

The TUTT is currently fractured though

[NDG]

The problem that I see is not so much with windshear is more with the fact that it is surrounded by still a fairly dryer than average Atlantic MDR. It will be hard to keep the dry air away from it.

Vis satellite loop this morning shows a couple of vorticities embedded in this area.

[AutoPenalti]

Won’t develop if that TUTT is not budging. It will shear it to pieces.

The TUTT is currently fractured though

At the moment, but not later in the period.

[alienstorm]

The one off the the coast is the one that GFS and Euro develops and then drops

[Kohlecane]

12z GFS @102 has this as an Depression or low end TS.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1164586218761310209

[cycloneye]

2 PM TWD.

A 1012 mb low is embedded on the monsoon trough near 9.5N36W.
Scattered moderate convection is from 09N-11N between 37W-40W.