Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM (Is Invest 90L)

[Stormcenter]

It’s got that look to it

[NDG]

By the time a low level vortex might try developing here it might be too close to the coast to do anything. Land friction may help it get it going but should not amount to much. IMO. Hopefully SE TX will get much needed rains.

[Nimbus]

Everyone always talks about the mid level working down to the surface....never seen it happen. But the latest IR satellite shows some red cloud tops around the old mid level circulation. Are those just outflow boundaries? Or a low pressure area? The activity should be decreasing by now yet it's bubbling up.

Both the infrared and the water vapor imagery show some mid level circulation over the gulf.
Buoy 42002 off Brownsville is reporting falling surface pressures already down to 1012 mb but the winds are all out of the S or SSE.
Of course with the wind out of the south there is not as much dry air contamination from land.

I did see some outflow boundaries earlier on visible imagery but now on IR there are hot towers building near the center of the mid level vort which could be consistent with circulation working its way down to the surface as you said.

[captainbarbossa19]

By the time a low level vortex might try developing here it might be too close to the coast to do anything. Land friction may help it get it going but should not amount to much. IMO. Hopefully SE TX will get much needed rains.

Everywhere but my location in SE TX please. I need to mow some grass sometime.

[lrak]

We sure could use some rain too but or locals says no way. Everyone's yard is brown...ugh. I keep my palms and citrus alive but the lawn will survive . I like absolutes because there is always the doubt. If someone through a cigarette butt out on I-37 median it would instantly ignite.

[NDG]

Looking at the Euro closely it shows the H70 mid level circulation SE of Brownsville getting stronger during the day tomorrow into Saturday but for the H85 vorticity/circulation not to develop until it gets close to the SE TX coast on Saturday morning, there will probably be a nice spin to it on radar by then.

[Wx_Warrior]

Not much to see on EURO 18z...rain, mostly coastline of SETX and Central LA.

[Steve]

Gotta love the wrf-arw and the 997. Lmao.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 82300&fh=6

MJO in a slightly favorable state probably influenced the spin up. NAM and ICON of all models showed the spin best (some of the runs), petering it out and reforming offshore bands. Not much but maybe some rain for SETX and SWLA. If it lingers a couple days, maybe some training into SCLA, but it doesn’t look like any crazy rainfall totals. It’s just a cool feature to watch.

[NDG]

Interesting that both the euro and gfs show the energy from the western GOM system looping around from the central gulf coast through FL then back west into the open GOM next week.

[Stormcenter]

Serious build up of convection this morning.

[TexWx]

Serious build up of convection this morning.

Big chunk of moisture headed in the Corpus direction. Still a ways out.

[SoupBone]

Beautiful weather here in the Greater Houston Area. Hot, but pretty.

[Steve]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 2312&fh=84

Looks like the 12z NAM likes the heaviest rain on the W and NW side of town with the yellows showing up.

Also rain is moving in on the TX Coast in some areas, so some of those of you outside the Triangle that have been wanting rain should get some - or at the very least a break from the heat.
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.p ... 1&loop=yes

[galvbay]

.63” north Galveston Bay this morning.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

[tolakram]

SLIDER Visible

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=3&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=conus&p%5B0%5D=band_02&x=3478.8411865234375&y=5756.79443359375

[TheProfessor]

Thankfully it's been mostly dry here, hoping we don't get too much rain out of this. Glad to see some Texans getting rain though.

[Stormcenter]

This looks more impressive than the invest in the Bahamas. IMO

[TheProfessor]

This looks more impressive than the invest in the Bahamas. IMO

Satellite might look more impressive right now. But outside of the 500mb vort(which is stretched now) The Bahamas system is quite a bit more organized. The 850mb vorticity is nearly non existent with this storm.

[Siker]

12z Euro again loops this across the SE, across FL and back into the Gulf and ends as what looks like a weak TC on the Louisiana coast.

[Stormcenter]

This mess is not going away quietly.