ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Highteeld]

Hmm... update is late. I wonder what intensity they'll put it at.

i say 55mph

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Dorian Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
500 PM AST Sun Aug 25 2019

...DORIAN STRENGTHENING...
...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.5N 54.2W
ABOUT 375 MI...605 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM ESE OF ST. LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

[Siker]

Hmm... update is late. I wonder what intensity they'll put it at.

i say 55mph

You picked the one intensity that doesn't exist .

[Blown Away]

At 5pm Dorian is at 11.5N... At 11am this morning Dorian was to reach 11.5N at 11pm tonight... Subtle right/north shifts could have significance down the road???

[Aric Dunn]

Hmm... update is late. I wonder what intensity they'll put it at.

i say 55mph

You picked the one intensity that doesn't exist .

oh come on everyone knows 47.7937 kts is much fun to use lol

[SouthDadeFish]

Pretty intense convective burst ongoing near the center...

[ColdMiser123]

Pretty intense convective burst ongoing near the center...

https://i.imgur.com/TW49I03.gif

Recon is almost there.

Should be able to catch what is going on with this latest convective burst.

[hipshot]

Pretty intense convective burst ongoing near the center...

https://i.imgur.com/TW49I03.gif

Wow, let's see what happens with that!

[tgenius]

Pretty intense convective burst ongoing near the center...

https://i.imgur.com/TW49I03.gif

Wow, let's see what happens with that!

That is one heck of a convective pop over center! I wonder if it’s going to be able to sustain or die off?

[Ubuntwo]

Pretty intense convective burst ongoing near the center...

https://i.imgur.com/TW49I03.gif

Recon is almost there.

Should be able to catch what is going on with this latest convective burst.

That's an upper level mission. not low level recon.

[gatorcane]

NHC mentions that one possibility is still it stays north of Hispaniola and remains a hurricane.

[Highteeld]

Shear does look lower than earlier.

[TJRE]

hooked on this sat shot...

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=m ... =undefined

[ColdMiser123]

Pretty intense convective burst ongoing near the center...

https://i.imgur.com/TW49I03.gif

Recon is almost there.

Should be able to catch what is going on with this latest convective burst.

That's an upper level mission. not low level recon.

They have been releasing dropsondes that give vertical profiles of the atmosphere.

Interested to see where they release those dropsondes near the system.

[artist]

Recon is almost there.

Should be able to catch what is going on with this latest convective burst.

That's an upper level mission. not low level recon.

They have been releasing dropsondes that give vertical profiles of the atmosphere.

Interested to see where they release those dropsondes near the system.

They have 2 missions right now

[mpic]

If it stays north of Hispaniola does that indicate it stays east in the Gulf?

[AtlanticWind]

See what the recon data does to the models tonight.

[tolakram]

Eye like feature in shortwave.

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=1&im=48&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=mesoscale_02&p%5B0%5D=band_07&x=942&y=1009

[Dylan]

 https://twitter.com/DylanFedericoWX/status/1165740647762059265

[Aric Dunn]

You can easily see the shape of the developing eyewall feature with the cold cloud tops. . dont mind the mouse

[Hurricaneman]

I honestly think this is a hurricane looking at the structure and eye on the shortwaveIR