BYG Jacob wrote:
A truly massive convective blow up
Yes. Almost doubled in size. Not so little anymore
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BYG Jacob wrote:
A truly massive convective blow up
KC7NEC wrote:Im guessing that we will see Florida Division of Emergency Management, State Officials, and many local governments start to ramp up messaging today. This means for any of you in Eastern Florida the time is NOW to go get supplies, gas, water, and essentials that you don't already have before the masses go into prepare panic this evening.
Yes, an exact track is not certain yet and it's days out but it's better to be safe and ready, then unprepared and stressed out.
Airboy wrote:Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 28th day of the month at 15:57Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF99-5309
Storm Number & Year: 05 in 2019
Storm Name: Dorian (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 9
Observation Number: 21
A. Time of Center Fix: 28th day of the month at 15:27:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 17.80N 64.59W
B. Center Fix Location: 8 statute miles (13 km) to the ENE (64°) from Christiansted, U.S. Virgin Islands.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,439m (4,721ft) at 850mb
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1001mb (29.56 inHg)
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 280° at 14kts (From the W at 16mph)
F. Eye Character: Open in the west
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 17 nautical miles (20 statute miles)
H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 44kts (50.6mph)
I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 18 nautical miles (21 statute miles) to the ESE (117°) of center fix at 15:21:00Z
J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 188° at 58kts (From the S at 66.7mph)
K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 18 nautical miles (21 statute miles) to the ESE (122°) of center fix at 15:21:00Z
L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 40kts (46.0mph)
M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 16 nautical miles (18 statute miles) to the WNW (302°) of center fix at 15:33:00Z
N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 44° at 51kts (From the NE at 58.7mph)
O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles) to the NW (305°) of center fix at 15:34:30Z
P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,515m (4,970ft)
Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 21°C (70°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,535m (5,036ft)
R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 16°C (61°F)
R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
S. Fix Level: 850mb
T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.03 nautical miles
T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
BYG Jacob wrote:Airboy wrote:Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 28th day of the month at 15:57Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF99-5309
Storm Number & Year: 05 in 2019
Storm Name: Dorian (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 9
Observation Number: 21
A. Time of Center Fix: 28th day of the month at 15:27:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 17.80N 64.59W
B. Center Fix Location: 8 statute miles (13 km) to the ENE (64°) from Christiansted, U.S. Virgin Islands.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,439m (4,721ft) at 850mb
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1001mb (29.56 inHg)
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 280° at 14kts (From the W at 16mph)
F. Eye Character: Open in the west
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 17 nautical miles (20 statute miles)
H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 44kts (50.6mph)
I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 18 nautical miles (21 statute miles) to the ESE (117°) of center fix at 15:21:00Z
J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 188° at 58kts (From the S at 66.7mph)
K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 18 nautical miles (21 statute miles) to the ESE (122°) of center fix at 15:21:00Z
L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 40kts (46.0mph)
M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 16 nautical miles (18 statute miles) to the WNW (302°) of center fix at 15:33:00Z
N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 44° at 51kts (From the NE at 58.7mph)
O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles) to the NW (305°) of center fix at 15:34:30Z
P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,515m (4,970ft)
Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 21°C (70°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,535m (5,036ft)
R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 16°C (61°F)
R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
S. Fix Level: 850mb
T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.03 nautical miles
T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Is this the latest vortex?
BYG Jacob wrote:A damn shame recon just left, we’re probably going to have to wait for an upgrade to hurricane.
ObsessedMiami wrote:KC7NEC wrote:Im guessing that we will see Florida Division of Emergency Management, State Officials, and many local governments start to ramp up messaging today. This means for any of you in Eastern Florida the time is NOW to go get supplies, gas, water, and essentials that you don't already have before the masses go into prepare panic this evening.
Yes, an exact track is not certain yet and it's days out but it's better to be safe and ready, then unprepared and stressed out.
Yes do it ASAP. The crowds will be out tonight.
Now where is that post from this morning that said a SFL Tv met was sounding the all clear????
beachman80 wrote:Question: I noticed some models developing a low in the eastern or central GOM this weekend and into early next week. Could that block Dorian from moving westward while the high blocks it from moving north?
KC7NEC wrote:Im guessing that we will see Florida Division of Emergency Management, State Officials, and many local governments start to ramp up messaging today. This means for any of you in Eastern Florida the time is NOW to go get supplies, gas, water, and essentials that you don't already have before the masses go into prepare panic this evening.
Yes, an exact track is not certain yet and it's days out but it's better to be safe and ready, then unprepared and stressed out.
northjaxpro wrote:I am pretty sure the state emergency officials are gathering now on when to start evacuations. We should be hearing about this in very soon, given the latest developments.
BrandonJay21 wrote:Just sitting here in Orlando refreshing like crazy, and being thankful I decided to grab supplies and gas last night. (Not helpful to the conversation, but sometimes one gets tired of lurking in the forum.)
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