ATL: DORIAN - Models

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STRiZZY
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2181 Postby STRiZZY » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:35 am

scogor wrote:Might be 1:30 for many of you but now 7:30 a.m. for me as we are river cruising in Europe and 6 hours ahead of our home base on Florida’s west coast. Very bizarre model watching from the other side of the Atlantic.


10:34pm here, based out of Largo, Fl but currently in Phoenix. There's a dust storm hitting us right now lol.

Excited to see what the Euro has for us.
Last edited by STRiZZY on Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:36 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2182 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:35 am

The HWRF seems to be south
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2183 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:37 am

Good to see u Rock,

Don't be wishing to many south adjustments.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2184 Postby STRiZZY » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:38 am

Hurricaneman wrote:The HWRF seems to be south


Yes and weaker, if 940mb can be considered "weak" lol
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2185 Postby blp » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:38 am

Hurricaneman wrote:The HWRF seems to be south


Yes about 1/2 degree of longitude further south.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2186 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:38 am

HWRF bombing out again over the Gulf Stream...down to 935MB.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2187 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:39 am

STRiZZY wrote:
Hurricaneman wrote:The HWRF seems to be south


Yes and weaker, if 940mb can be considered "weak" lol

Now down to 932
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2188 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:39 am

ROCK wrote:The trend has been south and more south as the robust high drops down and pushes him west. I wouldn’t be surprised if he goes thru the straits and into STX at this point. Saw this with IKE and Rita. Euro sniffing lower FL and into the GOM for now. Won’t be surprised if LA and Central LA come into play in the next few runs. JMO


I know you're talking about Louisiana, but I couldn't help but to chuckle thinking that it was Los Angeles that you were talking about.That would kinda bee cool for a storm to hang together that far. :spam:
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2189 Postby caneseddy » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:41 am

BobHarlem wrote:0z HMON stronger (higher end cat 2) and south (moved from Palm Bay at 18z south to Vero at 0z)

https://i.imgur.com/U0M0kq6.png


So about 30 miles further south
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2190 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:41 am

You go back in the thread and everyone's thing still says online
Nobody has left yet
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2191 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:42 am

HWRF down to 931MB and headed straight west towards Fort Pierce. Good deal South of 18z.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2192 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:42 am

Hurricaneman wrote:The HWRF seems to be south


Yes and moving almost due west, 18z was wnw into the cape.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2193 Postby Jonny » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:43 am

Just a few more minutes, may the odds be ever in your favor. ;)
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2194 Postby caneseddy » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:43 am

GFS ensembles..majority south of operational

Image
Last edited by caneseddy on Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2195 Postby BobHarlem » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:44 am

HMON exiting west into the Gulf via Tampa Bay. (final frame of the Model run)

Image
Last edited by BobHarlem on Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2196 Postby blp » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:44 am

00z GEFS. Looks more spread out.

Image
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2197 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:46 am

Could the HWRF be look into to what the Euro will show
Last edited by Miami Storm Tracker on Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2198 Postby Stormi » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:46 am

Jonny wrote:Just a few more minutes, may the odds be ever in your favor. ;)


:lol:
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2199 Postby caneseddy » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:47 am

Bocadude85 wrote:
Hurricaneman wrote:The HWRF seems to be south


Yes and moving almost due west, 18z was wnw into the cape.


And the south trend continues..all models so far with exception of GFS picking up the strong ridge
Last edited by caneseddy on Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2200 Postby blp » Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:47 am

HWRF a half degree of longitude south of 18z. Big shift.
Last edited by blp on Thu Aug 29, 2019 12:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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