ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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norva13x
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3301 Postby norva13x » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:10 am

Is it for sure at this point it is going to slow down, how certain are we of that?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3302 Postby KWT » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:10 am

Looks like a proper eye is starting to try to clear through the deeper eyewall convection. Should fly through category 3 in the next 12-18hrs. Think this will be around 115kts by tonight.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3303 Postby NDG » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:11 am

Winds found on latest AF recon pass on NE quadrant is not reflecting the latest pressure drop yet, no MH fore winds found yet for upgrade.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3304 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:11 am

Image
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3305 Postby got ants? » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:11 am

NDG wrote:Who remembers when John Hope used to say on TWC that the flow of the high cirrus clouds was a sign to follow of where the Hurricane was headed? So true!

https://i.imgur.com/6edOBZ6.gif


Every Florida cracker knows that. The calm before the storm, and the banding sirrus or stratos clouds are your warning signs to put the cows in the barn, and batten the house down
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3306 Postby Steejo91 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:13 am

Eye is certainly clearing and warming. A sign of a healthy, maintained core has been established. .Getting ready to leave OKC here in a bit to make my way down to Palm County and adjust accordingly! I expect we should see steady to rapid strengthening. My thoughts are with the people in Florida today in hopes everyone listens to whats coming.

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3307 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:13 am

:eek: :eek: :eek:

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:https://i.imgur.com/IDz6YtG.jpg
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3308 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:16 am

Dorian is getting that Hugo shape...
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3309 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:18 am

Dorian's East-West stretch is one of the scariest things I have seen in years. It's quite literally pointing at us.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3310 Postby toad strangler » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:19 am

Ughhhh that satellite shot :eek:
Last edited by toad strangler on Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3311 Postby AubreyStorm » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:21 am

toad strangler wrote:Ughhhh :eek:


What? :?:
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3312 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:23 am

93kt SFMR unflagged in the southwest quad.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3313 Postby NDG » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:25 am

FLpanhandle91 wrote:93kt SFMR unflagged in the southwest quad.


Not enough for upgrade to Cat 3.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3314 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:25 am

There you go


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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3315 Postby USTropics » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:26 am

Past 100 frames:
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3316 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:27 am

supercane4867 wrote:Dorian is getting that Hugo shape...




Link:
https://www.weather.gov/images/chs/even ... go_vis.gif


Yeah, Dorian does resemble Hugo in satellite appearance right now.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3317 Postby jasons2k » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:27 am

Yes, the eye clearing is concerning but almost more concerning when I look at the satellite loops is the improved cirrus outflow presentation in all directions now. An ominous sign indeed.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3318 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:27 am

Live visible

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=1&im=14&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=mesoscale_02&p%5B0%5D=band_02&x=1256.8601684570312&y=1252.8485412597656
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3319 Postby zhukm29 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:27 am

This thing has four days over warm waters and low shear...

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3320 Postby KWT » Fri Aug 30, 2019 9:28 am

NDG wrote:Winds found on latest AF recon pass on NE quadrant is not reflecting the latest pressure drop yet, no MH fore winds found yet for upgrade.


Probably going to be 6-12hrs before the winds catch up with the improved presentation. once the eye clears pressure will probably drop into the 950s.
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