ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Siker
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Thu Oct 25, 2012 7:36 pm
Location: Miami, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3661 Postby Siker » Fri Aug 30, 2019 4:59 pm

Wide view:

Image
10 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthDadeFish
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2835
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2010 2:54 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthDadeFish

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3662 Postby SouthDadeFish » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:03 pm

The current inner-core structure of Dorian is very impressive:

 https://twitter.com/MikeFischerWx/status/1167557855286874118


9 likes   
Top
User avatar
Highteeld
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2139
Age: 41
Joined: Tue Jan 30, 2018 9:10 pm
Location: Chicago

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3663 Postby Highteeld » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:04 pm

120 kts/948 mb is my guess based off this IR imagery

Image
3 likes   
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Top
AxaltaRacing24
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1753
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Jul 27, 2016 11:14 am
Location: Jupiter, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3664 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:07 pm

Highteeld wrote:120 kts/948 mb is my guess based off this IR imagery

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/images/goes16_ir_goes16-meso2_20190830215857.jpg

That has cat 4/5 run written all over it.
4 likes   
Top
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16167
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:
Contact Yellow Evan

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3665 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:08 pm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 30 AUG 2019 Time : 212019 UTC
Lat : 25:14:23 N Lon : 70:35:23 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.8 / 950.3mb/109.8kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.8 5.7 5.7

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 18 km

Center Temp : +7.4C Cloud Region Temp : -61.7C

Scene Type : EYE
0 likes   
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3666 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:09 pm

Sunset view. Very impressive

Image
15 likes   
Top
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3667 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:09 pm

I just want to stop for a brief moment to remind everyone to keep your thoughts and prayers on our neighbors in the NW and Central Bahamas . They also will be in the crosshairs of Dorian the next few days as well.

Praying for the people of the Bahamas! Godspeed!
17 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
User avatar
GeneratorPower
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1648
Age: 45
Joined: Sun Dec 18, 2005 11:48 pm
Location: Huntsville, AL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3668 Postby GeneratorPower » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:11 pm

xironman wrote:Intensity matters. The old "Pump up the ridge" scenario.

I have not heard this discussed for Dorian. Anyone that can help, please elaborate.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Highteeld
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2139
Age: 41
Joined: Tue Jan 30, 2018 9:10 pm
Location: Chicago

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3669 Postby Highteeld » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:11 pm

Eye is starting to torch

Image
4 likes   
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Top
aperson
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 336
Age: 37
Joined: Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:56 pm

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3670 Postby aperson » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:13 pm

Highteeld wrote:Eye is starting to torch

https://i.imgur.com/Wry6gju.png


Yeah it really shows on BD now
Image
4 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3671 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:13 pm

Highteeld wrote:120 kts/948 mb is my guess based off this IR imagery

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/images/goes16_ir_goes16-meso2_20190830215857.jpg


The cloud tops need to get brighter; it's a bit over T5.5 right now. If I were to look at it from my naked eye I'd go 105 kt, but we'll know the true intensity in about 90 minutes.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Highteeld
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2139
Age: 41
Joined: Tue Jan 30, 2018 9:10 pm
Location: Chicago

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3672 Postby Highteeld » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:13 pm

Increasing

Image
1 likes   
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Top
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16167
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:
Contact Yellow Evan

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3673 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:14 pm

Recon aside, probably T6.0 right now with B ring and eye warming.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Highteeld
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2139
Age: 41
Joined: Tue Jan 30, 2018 9:10 pm
Location: Chicago

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3674 Postby Highteeld » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:14 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Highteeld wrote:120 kts/948 mb is my guess based off this IR imagery

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/images/goes16_ir_goes16-meso2_20190830215857.jpg


The cloud tops need to get brighter; it's a bit over T5.5 right now. If I were to look at it from my naked eye I'd go 105 kt, but we'll know the true intensity in about 90 minutes.

Irma threw ADT for a loop. Just a gut feeling here
2 likes   
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3675 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:15 pm

Probably will hit 120kts tonight. CAT5 a real possibility
9 likes   
Top
Kat5
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 178
Joined: Tue Jul 07, 2009 5:28 pm

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3676 Postby Kat5 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:19 pm

Anybody got an idea on current movement, my reading glasses aren’t as great as I thought.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Buck
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1174
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:04 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3677 Postby Buck » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:21 pm

What that met on Twitter said several posts back about the inner core reminds me of Maria... even EWRC didn't really weaken Maria because she had such a strong core in place.
1 likes   
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3678 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:21 pm

Another hot tower firing up in the eyewall...Beast mode


Image
19 likes   
Top
User avatar
Highteeld
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2139
Age: 41
Joined: Tue Jan 30, 2018 9:10 pm
Location: Chicago

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3679 Postby Highteeld » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:21 pm

Image
3 likes   
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Top
JBCycloneStan
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 54
Joined: Wed Sep 06, 2017 3:55 pm

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3680 Postby JBCycloneStan » Fri Aug 30, 2019 5:23 pm

Wow 1 degree Celsius warming of the eye in 10 minutes?? This is deepening fast.
2 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2019”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests