If we are entering a more active....

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If we are entering a more active....

#1 Postby Anonymous » Tue Oct 21, 2003 10:27 pm

If we are entering a more active period, don't you agree all costal residents should be alert. I can see how a weak category 2 that may have been organizing at the coast (Isabel), can cause potentally 10 billion dollars damage because of the large area it covered. Lili was of same strength (Although I think Lili weakened to 85 mph at landfall) but hit the marshy swamps of Louisiana, was moving faster, and was much, much smaller. So if a category 2 could potentally be the second costlist hurricane in US history, how much damage will the next Fran or Floyd do? Andrew? The 1926 storm (God only knows) Donna? Camille? Time will tell, how long will it stay like this? Twenty, thirty years?
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#2 Postby wxman57 » Tue Oct 21, 2003 10:34 pm

I wouldn't assume we're entering a more active period, first of all. And second, with the current flow pattern aloft, the only possible area that would be affected by a storm in the next week or so is south Florida, and even that is doubtful due to the 50-80 kt jet stream across the south Gulf. So, Floridians should remain vigilant, but the rest of the Gulf coast is probably ok, as is the east U.S. coast.
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Re: If we are entering a more active....

#3 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Oct 21, 2003 10:58 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:If we are entering a more active period, don't you agree all costal residents should be alert. I can see how a weak category 2 that may have been organizing at the coast (Isabel), can cause potentally 10 billion dollars damage because of the large area it covered. Lili was of same strength (Although I think Lili weakened to 85 mph at landfall) but hit the marshy swamps of Louisiana, was moving faster, and was much, much smaller. So if a category 2 could potentally be the second costlist hurricane in US history, how much damage will the next Fran or Floyd do? Andrew? The 1926 storm (God only knows) Donna? Camille? Time will tell, how long will it stay like this? Twenty, thirty years?


The 1926 Storm (adjusted to today's dollars would have done a mind-boggling $88 BILLION dollars in damage).

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/deadly/Table3A.htm
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