Yellow Evan wrote:Hammy wrote:p1nheadlarry wrote:
But they only forecast to 155 mph, they do not want to forecast a five. In all fairness it is incredibly likely for it to hit Cat 5 and then be a 4 within the 12 hour window.
They've forecast to Cat 5 with both Irma and Ivan, but I believe those were the only two times (and both were, if I remember, after they'd already achieved it once.)
They've forecast Cat 5 many times in the Eastern Pacific over the years.
Well yea, but there aren’t millions of people in the crosshairs of a major hurricane landfall on that side. EPAC also less influenced by (higher frequency) mid-latitude signals and dry air.