ATL: DORIAN - Models

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5221 Postby MrJames » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:45 pm

Moving north slowly at 54hrs.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5222 Postby AutoPenalti » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:46 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Trended further east a tad by 60 hours.

East? More like South...
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5223 Postby catskillfire51 » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:46 pm

I see a straight jog west at 54 hrs on the GFS
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5224 Postby MrJames » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:48 pm

Definitely east at 66hrs moving NNW
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5225 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:48 pm

The first trough definitely looked a touch deeper on this GFS run than the 18z. Seems to make quite the difference.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5226 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:48 pm

GFS is east a tad at hour 66.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5227 Postby MrJames » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:48 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5228 Postby Blizzard96x » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:49 pm

Notable shift back East on the GFS.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5229 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:50 pm

Legacy GFS is also noticeably east at hour 66. :flag:
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5230 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:51 pm

yea I can definitely see it now. sizable move east well off the Florida Coast now...
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5231 Postby MrJames » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:52 pm

Legacy GFS further east and heading north.

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5232 Postby T'Bonz » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:52 pm

So far, a bit south and a bit more offshore.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5233 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:54 pm

Is the GFS good on predicting pressure drops?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5234 Postby drezee » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:55 pm

I want to see the ensembles...
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5235 Postby AtlanticWind » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:55 pm

Unless we something surprising by the Euro, confidence in turn before Florida goes up
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5236 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:55 pm

Anyone have any info from the UKie?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5237 Postby StPeteMike » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:56 pm

Has the GFS been pretty reliable with Dorian? I would say not really but might be a better professional answer.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5238 Postby Ubuntwo » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:57 pm

StPeteMike wrote:Has the GFS been pretty reliable with Dorian? I would say not really but might be a better professional answer.

It's been too far north for the past few runs.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5239 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:57 pm

GFS about the same results given all day, maybe slight trend W over the day until 00z... I'm hoping the HP data collected showed a weaker HP and that data was in the 00z run tonight.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5240 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Aug 31, 2019 10:58 pm

It's interesting how the 0z GFS is a decent tick faster. Seems like in combination with the trough digging a bit deeper Dorian is able to feel the weakness a bit more.
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