1900hurricane wrote:How deep is the water where the crazy SFMR values are being recorded?
just east of these islands is a trench.. pretty deep there actually where as most of the Bahamian chain is shallower.
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1900hurricane wrote:How deep is the water where the crazy SFMR values are being recorded?
EquusStorm wrote:To be fair nearly half the Florida peninsula is still in the cone as it is, if people ignore everything but the center-line track that's kind of on them
Aric Dunn wrote:GCANE wrote:Stronger ridging to the NW.
FL is sitting in a CAPE trough.
UL High over FL is not going away today.
https://i.imgur.com/6oL17BC.png
https://i.imgur.com/jYPn5oU.png
yeah and G4 data confirms the 592/591 ridge still in place as well as the 250mb steering.
wsw motion could happen at any time. not for sure but could.
HurricaneBelle wrote:CronkPSU wrote:underthwx wrote:Where, and how, do the residents of the Bahamas in the path of Dorian go to protect themselves?
north and west....Polk County and Gulf Coast
not like they can hop in a car and drive there
NDG wrote:I also noticed that on the mid levels picture that I posted the shortwave now over Missouri has been coming in slower than what the GFS has been forecasting on its short range.
Hayabusa wrote:The center of Hurricane Dorian, at 01/1200 UTC, is near 26.5N
76.5W. This position is about 35 nm/ to the east of Great Abaco
Island in the Bahamas, and about 225 nm to the east of West Palm
Beach in Florida. Dorian is moving W, or 275 degrees, 8 knots.
The maximum sustained wind speeds are 160 knots with gusts to 170
knots. Dorian is a Category 5 hurricane.
160 knots sustained?![]()
https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/hurrica ... ussion.txt
supercane4867 wrote:1900hurricane wrote:How deep is the water where the crazy SFMR values are being recorded?
Actually the waters east of Great Abaco is not all that shallow. I believe they are >1000ft deep
norva13x wrote:johngaltfla wrote:ColdMiser123 wrote:https://twitter.com/yconsor/status/1168090883889278976
Amazingly enough, this could be the story that isn't heeded until it's too late.
Starting to feel pretty damn worried here in Orlando
Aric Dunn wrote:NDG wrote:Here's the mid level soundings from this morning, that 591+ dm ridge is still still hanging strong to the north of Dorian, in fact heights if Charleston have not fallen yet, still at 592 dm.
https://i.imgur.com/6SZtLQy.gif
yeah that does not include what G4 found.. 592 ridging NW of DOrian as well east of JAX and Saint Augustine.
looks like a whole lof of ridge pumping.
Canelaw99 wrote:EquusStorm wrote:To be fair nearly half the Florida peninsula is still in the cone as it is, if people ignore everything but the center-line track that's kind of on them
Here in Dade, we’ve been out since yesterday. Everyone has stopped preparations. No lines for gas or at Publix yesterday. Everyone enjoying their weekend because it’s all clear. Local news even saying if your shutters aren’t up, don’t worry. We, as storm enthusiasts, know to not pay attention to the cone directly and always watch the storm until it passes us. Most lay people don’t. They go by what they’re being told, and right now they’re told we’re in the clear. There isn’t even a TS watch for Miami Dade at the moment. Schools aren’t closed Tuesday.
johngaltfla wrote:norva13x wrote:johngaltfla wrote:
Amazingly enough, this could be the story that isn't heeded until it's too late.
Starting to feel pretty damn worried here in Orlando
Keep preparing and implement your plan now if you have not already. Stay calm and execute. It's exciting to see the beauty and power of this beast but realize that there are people in its path who will lose everything, maybe even their lives. So respect Mother Nature and you will be fine.
NDG wrote:Here's the mid level soundings from this morning, that 591+ dm ridge is still still hanging strong to the north of Dorian, in fact heights if Charleston have not fallen yet, still at 592 dm.
https://i.imgur.com/6SZtLQy.gif
Nancy Smar wrote:AL, 05, 2019090112, 03, OFCL, 3, 265N, 768W, 155, 919, HU,
155kts
1900hurricane wrote:supercane4867 wrote:1900hurricane wrote:How deep is the water where the crazy SFMR values are being recorded?
Actually the waters east of Great Abaco is not all that shallow. I believe they are >1000ft deep
Thanks, I knew there was a steep drop off somewhere, but I wasn't sure where it was. Hopefully the NHC gets good dropsonde data to help resolve the SFMR issue because it is rearing its head like never before right now.
Nancy Smar wrote:AL, 05, 2019090112, 03, OFCL, 3, 265N, 768W, 155, 919, HU,
155kts
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