11:30 A.M. TWO: POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT.......

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dixiebreeze
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11:30 A.M. TWO: POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT.......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Oct 22, 2003 10:17 am

EXISTS IN CARIBBEAN. MORE CONVECTION NEAR LOW:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2003

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM NICHOLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED TO
THE EAST OF NICARAGUA. THERE HAS BEEN SOME INCREASE IN SHOWER
ACTIVITY NEAR THE LOW CENTER THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE LITTLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SLOW DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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cycloneye
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 22, 2003 10:22 am

Nothing to get excited about as this is almost the 5:30 AM one with the new words potential for slow development but this will take a few days to do so let's wait with patience what will happen here.
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#3 Postby GulfBreezer » Wed Oct 22, 2003 10:30 am

This season has worn my patience thin Luis!! :)

Hurry up and wait...........oh Lordy! :)
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Steve H.
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#4 Postby Steve H. » Wed Oct 22, 2003 11:50 am

Yeah, the weather pattern (predicted) is low confidence attm. NOGAPS at 12Z shows low east of Nicaragua developing little, then moving inland OR in the Gulf of Honduras at 144 hours. It also shows a closed low in the central Caribbean at the same time, and one in the central Atlantic near 12N! The one in the central Caribbean moves west while the area near Honduras seems to want to go NW, but it shows strong ridging to its north. The central Atlantic low is just there, spawned out of convection that came from the Eastern Atlantic. Time marches on :wink:
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