ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[northjaxpro]

GODSPEED to all in the Bahamas in the path of this monster. My God my heart breaks for our neighbors there and tourists stuck there .

Prayers to all!!

[Bad_Hurricane]

Thank God, he is still alive!
 https://twitter.com/icyclone/status/1168180452986884101

[cheezyWXguy]

Not correct (yet) by any metric. Only for the northwestern Bahamas.

Pretty sure this is in reference to the record set by Irma in regard to hurricanes outside of the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, which it set with 180 mph winds and a 914mb central pressure.

For Pete's sake, from the NHC: ..DORIAN BECOMES THE STRONGEST HURRICANE IN MODERN RECORDS FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS."

Easy now

This now holds a lower pressure and the same winds as Irma.

[supercane4867]

WV Comparison

This is from last night




Now

[supercane4867]

Thank God, he is still alive!
https://twitter.com/icyclone/status/1168180452986884101

Well, this guy is nuts.

[Hurricaneman]

WV Comparison

This is from last night

https://i.imgur.com/j9KgEPY.jpg


Now

https://i.imgur.com/PhGm8cY.jpg

No words

[northjaxpro]

These water vapor images are insane. I'm speechless
EYE maxing out color scale on all channels

https://i.imgur.com/Lg1BgbB.jpg


https://i.imgur.com/PhGm8cY.jpg


https://i.imgur.com/APw94JG.jpg

It is just incredulous seeing the maxed out color schemes. I have been in this business for nearly 30 years, and I have NEVER, EVER seen this anytime, let alone in this part of the basin. I have also never seen as clear and warm an eye in a particular tropical cyclone like this one.

I am beyond at a loss of words with this monster storm.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 1st day of the month at 15:18Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF96-5302
Storm Number & Year: 05 in 2019
Storm Name: Dorian (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 28
Observation Number: 23

A. Time of Center Fix: 1st day of the month at 14:56:40Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 26.50N 76.75W
B. Center Fix Location: 107 statute miles (173 km) to the NNE (21°) from Nassau, Bahamas.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,348m (7,703ft) at 700mb
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 915mb (27.02 inHg)
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 235° at 21kts (From the SW at 24mph)
F. Eye Character: Closed
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 13 nautical miles (15 statute miles)
H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 176kts (202.5mph)
I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 8 nautical miles to the NE (38°) of center fix at 14:54:00Z
J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 129° at 156kts (From the SE at 179.5mph)
K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 8 nautical miles to the NE (38°) of center fix at 14:54:00Z
L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 172kts (197.9mph)
M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 8 nautical miles to the SSW (208°) of center fix at 15:02:00Z
N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 288° at 150kts (From the WNW at 172.6mph)
O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles) to the SSW (210°) of center fix at 15:03:00Z
P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 8°C (46°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,047m (9,997ft)
Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 24°C (75°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,047m (9,997ft)
R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 4°C (39°F)
R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
S. Fix Level: 700mb
T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile

Remarks Section:

Maximum Flight Level Wind: 159kts (~ 183.0mph) which was observed 6 nautical miles to the NNW (327°) from the flight level center at 13:16:00Z

[supercane4867]

Radar presentation is perfect. No signs of ERC whatsoever

[PTrackerLA]

Did TWC just mention that the cone for 11am isnt updated on visual ???

Ignore the cone, it is completely meaningless!

So you’re telling people to ignore what the NHC director said? That anyone in the cone needs to pay attention and be prepared? I realize you’re a meteorologist, but that’s shameful. You of all people should know better than that.

He has stated that everyone should be already prepared but he does not expect hurricane impacts to Florida. Hope he's right...

[Bostonriff]

Thank God, he is still alive!
https://twitter.com/icyclone/status/1168180452986884101

Well, this guy is nuts.

He'll be fine. Bahamas construction is like WWII pillboxes, because they get run over every odd year.

[TheDreamTraveler]

I can't believe this thing is 180mph now. My god. And right before it starts touching land too.

[HurricaneBelle]

Not really buying the forward speed NHC did not have it scheduled to cross 77.1 till 4PM this afternoon by there own projections it's moving faster

INIT 01/0900Z 26.4N 76.0W 130 KT 150 MPH 4AM 9/1/19
12H 01/1800Z 26.6N 77.1W 135 KT 155 MPH

18Z is 2PM, not 4PM

[supercane4867]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1168182385340538880

[jlauderdal]

Based on the 11AM NHC advisory, my recommendation is shutters in north and east Broward. This is a suggested area. Any further unexpected west motion with growing hurricane wind field puts this area at risk. Be careful putting them up. More to follow. #SetzerSays @CBSMiami https://t.co/DeqCDXGkWZ

[Blown Away]

Latest...

[underthwx]

Be prepared my friends in Florida, and elsewhere...

[KC7NEC]

Question: At this point would it be less damaging for it to make landfall or to drive so close along the coast as a Cat 4/5?

[tolakram]

Facebook video, a direct link

https://www.facebook.com/ashgardiner242/videos/896796660689435/

[supercane4867]

Extrap pressure down to 909mb