ATL: DORIAN - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Blizzard96x
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 84
Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2015 4:34 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5521 Postby Blizzard96x » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:11 am

For the first time, ICON looks like it will miss south Florida based on hour 42. Great to see.
3 likes   

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5522 Postby chris_fit » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:11 am

ICON so far... stalled!!!

Image
0 likes   

b0tzy29
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 65
Joined: Sun Sep 02, 2018 9:03 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5523 Postby b0tzy29 » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:13 am

chris_fit wrote:ICON so far... stalled!!!

https://i.imgur.com/lxkhvsM.gif


Yup, everyone living and dying on these next few frames. Lol
2 likes   

Ritzcraker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 61
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2018 2:14 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5524 Postby Ritzcraker » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:15 am

Let us not forget about our peeps in the Bahamas guys...
6 likes   
This post is NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5525 Postby chris_fit » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:19 am

ICON on the move at 57, shorter stall than other models - appears to be further E

Image
1 likes   

User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5676
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5526 Postby StormingB81 » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:21 am

Still looks NNW to me...see as the frames go by
1 likes   

User avatar
SEASON_CANCELED
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 887
Joined: Mon Jul 06, 2009 5:17 am
Location: 8 Bit Charlie Sheen

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5527 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:22 am

tpinnola wrote:These subtle shifts west are absolutely terrifying.

https://media.giphy.com/media/idFWNfwYGlOarzcGl5/giphy.gif



https://ibb.co/HPkfsTm



At that rate in 36 hours the models will be back over florida. We need shifts east
2 likes   
i am a big stupid ugly moron with an ugly face and a big butt and my butt stinks and i like to kiss my own butt

Socalhurcnegirl227
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 267
Age: 36
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2016 6:39 pm
Location: Santa Barbara, CA

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5528 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:25 am

any shift west and we will end up seeing Andrews long lost brother
1 likes   
"I'm a wandress, i'm a one night stand,
dont belong to no city, dont belong to no man
i'm the violence in the pouring rain,
I'm a hurricane"

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5529 Postby chris_fit » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:26 am

way to close for comfort

Image
1 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5530 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:32 am

The models just continue to insist on the wnw motion... lol
1 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

b0tzy29
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 65
Joined: Sun Sep 02, 2018 9:03 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5531 Postby b0tzy29 » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:35 am

GFS is rolling
0 likes   

MrJames
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 189
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 11:56 am
Location: Jax, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5532 Postby MrJames » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:40 am

GFS inching NNW at 36hrs. Slightly east and a hair slower.
0 likes   

User avatar
tarheelprogrammer
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1793
Joined: Mon Mar 28, 2016 9:25 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC area (Garner, NC)

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5533 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:41 am

GFS looks slightly SE at hour 36 when compared to 06z.
0 likes   
My posts are not official forecasts. They are just my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5534 Postby chris_fit » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:41 am

GFS trend at 42

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Blizzard96x
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 84
Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2015 4:34 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5535 Postby Blizzard96x » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:42 am

GFS coming in east through 42. Great 12z shifts today for Florida.
1 likes   

MrJames
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 189
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 11:56 am
Location: Jax, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5536 Postby MrJames » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:43 am

GFS is further east at 54hrs heading NNW
0 likes   

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5537 Postby chris_fit » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:44 am

Finally an E trend

Image
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5538 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:44 am

it will be south of this GFS later today ...
2 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5539 Postby gatorcane » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:45 am

The GFS seems to make the turn slightly more south though
0 likes   

JPmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1070
Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2004 11:01 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#5540 Postby JPmia » Sun Sep 01, 2019 10:47 am

Aric Dunn wrote:it will be south of this GFS later today ...


yeah it doesn't appear it will make those GFS plots anytime soon.
2 likes   


Return to “2019”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests