ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ColdFusion]

Good Radar loop

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/~mnissenbaum/Rad ... /loop.html

[gfsperpendicular]

Wow. Multiple unflagged 200mph SFMR readings in the Atlantic ocean. I never thought I'd see the day.

[NDG]

I hope Jim Edds who went to Elbow Cay thinking that the eye was going to go north of him not thinking that it would go directly over him is OK and alive, the eye right over the Cay right now, he has not reported on twitter in over 3 hours now.

[wx98]

This is simply incredible...

[newtotex]

This is just mind blowing to see

[underthwx]

Is there a NHC advisory at 1 pm?

[Blinhart]

I was joking about it yesterday or the day before about him getting to 200 MPH, and now it might actually do it. This is a very scary situation. I

On a side note I still don't see this making a turn North anytime soon. That "A" storm is still coming to mind.

[hohnywx]

Is there a NHC advisory at 1 pm?

2 PM EDT.

[tolakram]

763
WTNT65 KNHC 011644
TCUAT5

Hurricane Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1245 pm EDT Sun Sep 01 2019

...CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 DORIAN MAKES LANDFALL ON ELBOW CAY IN THE
ABACOS...

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and
satellite data indicate that Dorian has made landfall at 1240 pm
EDT (1640 UTC) in Elbow Cay, Abacos. The winds have increased
to 185 mph (295 km/h) with the minimum central pressure falling to
911 mb (26.90 inches).

This is a life-threatening situation. Residents there should take
immediate shelter. Do not venture into the eye if it passes over
your location.

Hazards:
- Wind Gusts over 220 mph
- Storm Surge 18 to 23 feet above normal tide levels with higher
destructive waves

These hazards will cause extreme destruction in the affected areas
and will continue for several hours.


SUMMARY OF 1245 PM EDT...1645 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 77.0W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM E OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH...295 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...911 MB...26.90 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Avila/Blake

[Kazmit]

Wow, they raised it to 185.

[FLpanhandle91]

NHC going with 911mb 185mph for 1 PM.

[Aric Dunn]

Smoothed motion from the last 4 Recon fixes from 1132 to 1623... heading 263 degrees at 8mph..

[wx98]

Landfall at 185 mph, 911 mbar on Elbow Cay

[johngaltfla]

Wow, they raised it to 185.

And back at 275 at 8 mph.

[Ian2401]

Smoothed motion from the last 4 Recon fixes from 1132 to 1623... heading 263 degrees at 8mph..

https://i.ibb.co/2vKGfqc/Capture.png

yikes, that just south of due West. not good

[johngaltfla]

I was joking about it yesterday or the day before about him getting to 200 MPH, and now it might actually do it. This is a very scary situation. I

On a side note I still don't see this making a turn North anytime soon. That "A" storm is still coming to mind.

I'm more concerned about a much older storm which was in a similar position but with much lower strength than this monster.

[Highteeld]

160 knot landfall makes it the 2nd strongest land falling storm in recorded history, no?

[Hypercane_Kyle]

160 knot landfall makes it the 2nd strongest land falling storm in recorded history, no?

*the* strongest, tied with the Labor Day hurricane.

[TheDreamTraveler]

Latest advisory has Dorian moving at 8mph instead of 7mph now still due west...I thought it was supposed to slow down? I feel like a 1mph change can make a difference here.

[johngaltfla]

Smoothed motion from the last 4 Recon fixes from 1132 to 1623... heading 263 degrees at 8mph..

https://i.ibb.co/2vKGfqc/Capture.png

IF it stays on this trek for 18 hours+ everything changes. But we'll see overnight if the "stall" really happens. I'm more skeptical by the minute.