bohaiboy wrote:So mostly a lurker since 2008 right before Ike, but I wonder how much climatology the models incorporate in to their algorithms that might say we are almost past the peak CV season and that is why they don't develop as many? It also seems to me we are getting these systems develop later than the norm and becoming much stronger that the norm has to do with simple climate change and the oceans have gotten warmer and are staying warmer much longer.
We are really at the peak of the CV season, and as far as the models they really don't use climatology at alL
other than the natural state of the late summer conditions.
Climate change could already be having some effect on Hurricanes but I would expect the models
will reflect this as they have all the observations on warmer sst and atmospheric conditions .
This is an amateurs view by the way.