DioBrando wrote:Kazmit wrote:DioBrando wrote:Now down to 10/40
What's actually happening with this invest?
It went all the way to 80%, then down to 50%, then back up to 70%, and now back down again to 40%.
I know but I'm talking about why chances arare dropping when there is no dry air, no wind shear, bathwater ssts....
Seems like the sinking air is back--most of the models indicated the more longer-term favorable conditions not arriving until mid-September, but having a favorable Kelvin wave passing through at the end of August/beginning of September (which led to the spurt of activity we had, as well as aiding in Dorian's initial formation)