mpic wrote:Do NOT want a hurricane, but just a little tropical wave wishcasting for East Texas. Burn bans up all over. Need some relief.
I'll wish cast that tropical rainstorm over here in Atlanta after it waters the ground in Texas.
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mpic wrote:Do NOT want a hurricane, but just a little tropical wave wishcasting for East Texas. Burn bans up all over. Need some relief.
1. A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave,
centered about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next two or three
days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for tropical
cyclone formation. This system is expected to move generally
westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean for the next
several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Abdullah wrote:Why is everyone writing this storm off? It looks really good and I'm not sure why it isn't a tropical depression. On ASCAT it looks like the circulation is closed and there's persistent convection, both of which I have yet to see with the other two invests.
Abdullah wrote:Why is everyone writing this storm off? It looks really good and I'm not sure why it isn't a tropical depression. On ASCAT it looks like the circulation is closed and there's persistent convection, both of which I have yet to see with the other two invests.
Patrick99 wrote:SconnieCane wrote:Seems some of us (and NHC with its drastic lowering of probabilities) may have got a little too impatient with this invest.
I feel like there is always this tendency here to either want to ramp it up to a Cat 5 in a day and a half, or call for its outright dissipation - when the reality is typically somewhere in between. I probably won't ever forget those who were thinking Dorian would flat-out spin down into nothing, in the Caribbean.
mpic wrote:Do NOT want a hurricane, but just a little tropical wave wishcasting for East Texas. Burn bans up all over. Need some relief.
Abdullah wrote:Why is everyone writing this storm off? ...
abajan wrote:mpic wrote:Do NOT want a hurricane, but just a little tropical wave wishcasting for East Texas. Burn bans up all over. Need some relief.
We in Barbados are also hoping it brings us much needed rain. So far, this has been one of the driest years in recent times. During the last few days, some parts of the island have had flooding from localized thunderstorms, but most of the island is in a rainfall deficit.
Patrick99 wrote:SconnieCane wrote:Seems some of us (and NHC with its drastic lowering of probabilities) may have got a little too impatient with this invest.
I feel like there is always this tendency here to either want to ramp it up to a Cat 5 in a day and a half, or call for its outright dissipation - when the reality is typically somewhere in between. I probably won't ever forget those who were thinking Dorian would flat-out spin down into nothing, in the Caribbean.
Buck wrote:mpic wrote:Do NOT want a hurricane, but just a little tropical wave wishcasting for East Texas. Burn bans up all over. Need some relief.
I'll wish cast that tropical rainstorm over here in Atlanta after it waters the ground in Texas.
N2FSU wrote:Patrick99 wrote:SconnieCane wrote:Seems some of us (and NHC with its drastic lowering of probabilities) may have got a little too impatient with this invest.
I feel like there is always this tendency here to either want to ramp it up to a Cat 5 in a day and a half, or call for its outright dissipation - when the reality is typically somewhere in between. I probably won't ever forget those who were thinking Dorian would flat-out spin down into nothing, in the Caribbean.
Including some of the most respected members on here.
There was good reason to think it wouldn't make it out of the Caribbean. The setup wasn't favorable but it took the easterly route and found a sweet spot.N2FSU wrote:Patrick99 wrote:SconnieCane wrote:Seems some of us (and NHC with its drastic lowering of probabilities) may have got a little too impatient with this invest.
I feel like there is always this tendency here to either want to ramp it up to a Cat 5 in a day and a half, or call for its outright dissipation - when the reality is typically somewhere in between. I probably won't ever forget those who were thinking Dorian would flat-out spin down into nothing, in the Caribbean.
Including some of the most respected members on here.
We respect youScottNAtlanta wrote:N2FSU wrote:Patrick99 wrote:
I feel like there is always this tendency here to either want to ramp it up to a Cat 5 in a day and a half, or call for its outright dissipation - when the reality is typically somewhere in between. I probably won't ever forget those who were thinking Dorian would flat-out spin down into nothing, in the Caribbean.
Including some of the most respected members on here.
Not that I'm respected, but I've always said it is those persistent circulations that keep fighting and dont completely fall apart will be the ones to take off when they find a good environment...I said that with Dorian, and it applies with this one too...its just got to find better conditions
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