SFLcane wrote:5,4,3,2,1
Impressive
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ronjon wrote:NDG wrote:I have been saying all along that this is an area that tropical systems that have come through this area have organized more than the models have shown. I will not be surprised at all it 95L becomes a strong TS if not a weak Cat 1 before coming across FL.
Com'on where's wxman57 to throw cold water on development now...we need you buddy!
sma10 wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:NDG wrote:I have been saying all along that this is an area that tropical systems that have come through this area have organized more than the models have shown. I will not be surprised at all it 95L becomes a strong TS if not a weak Cat 1 before coming across FL.
Agreed. With 72 hours of water ahead.. plenty of time.
Not the same situation ... but the famous Labor Day Hurricane in the middle Keys, was still just a Tropical Storm at 77W. It went from TS to Cat 5 between 77W and 80W. Obviously, this won't be the same case, but just to show, this area doesn't need much to get going a bit.
ronjon wrote:NDG wrote:I have been saying all along that this is an area that tropical systems that have come through this area have organized more than the models have shown. I will not be surprised at all it 95L becomes a strong TS if not a weak Cat 1 before coming across FL.
Com'on where's wxman57 to throw cold water on development now...we need you buddy!
psyclone wrote:Weak and right seems most likely with this system but we need to watch it carefully due to location and calendar. Here's to hoping we get a heat breaking, breezy "fun system" with some squalls and fast moving showers.
psyclone wrote:Weak and right seems most likely with this system but we need to watch it carefully due to location and calendar. Here's to hoping we get a heat breaking, breezy "fun system" with some squalls and fast moving showers.
Stormcenter wrote:It sure looks like the NHC is not buying the EURO and
ICON solutions so far with WNW hook.
Stormcenter wrote:It sure looks like the NHC is not buying the EURO and
ICON runs so far with WNW hook.
Cpv17 wrote:Stormcenter wrote:It sure looks like the NHC is not buying the EURO and
ICON runs so far with WNW hook.
They have access to guidance that the public doesn’t have. I would stick with their word. They also mention this will go through the FL Straits and SEFL so that’s also farther south than the models indicate.
Yesterday it was mandarin and in the eastern gulf only, quite a change in 24 hourspsyclone wrote:There's our code red. We usually get there a dime at a time. Classic peak season vs shear tug of war favors eventual development
Stormcenter wrote:It sure looks like the NHC is not buying the EURO and
ICON runs so far with WNW hook.
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