ATL: HUMBERTO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
DioBrando
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2018 12:45 pm

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#961 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 17, 2019 1:24 pm

plasticup wrote:They say this is a Category 2? Looks a lot better than most.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/images/goes16_vis_09L_201909171752.jpg?3062861

He's beautiful!
Quite the looker.
2 likes   
blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
Top
User avatar
Cunxi Huang
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 329
Age: 26
Joined: Thu Sep 26, 2013 12:17 pm
Location: San Jose, CA
Contact:
Contact Cunxi Huang

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#962 Postby Cunxi Huang » Tue Sep 17, 2019 2:04 pm

EC 12z+42h 923 mb.
AL, 09, 2019091712, 98, EMDT, 42, 344N, 635W, 106, 923, , 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 19
4 likes   
06 SuTY SAOMAI | 09 TY LINFA | 10 TY FANAPI | 10 SuTY MEGI | 16 SuTY MERANTI | 19 SuTY LEKIMA | 24 C2 FRANCINE
DO NOT use my posts for life and death decisions. For official information, please refer to products from your RSMC and national weather agency.
Top
User avatar
DioBrando
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2018 12:45 pm

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#963 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 17, 2019 2:17 pm

Cunxi Huang wrote:EC 12z+42h 923 mb.
AL, 09, 2019091712, 98, EMDT, 42, 344N, 635W, 106, 923, , 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 19

Windspeed is?
0 likes   
blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
Top
TallyTracker
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 719
Joined: Thu Oct 11, 2018 2:46 pm

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#964 Postby TallyTracker » Tue Sep 17, 2019 2:40 pm

Humberto is enormous! Look at the hurricane in relation to the Southeastern US! Very impressive and beautiful storm.
2 likes   
Fran '96, Georges '98, Gordon '00, Gabrielle '01, Charley '04, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Barry '07, Fay '08, Debby '12, Matthew '16, Emily '17, Irma '17, Michael ‘18, Elsa ‘21, Fred ‘21, Mindy ‘21, Nicole ‘22, Idalia ‘23, Debby ‘24, Helene ‘24
Top
User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3344
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#965 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Sep 17, 2019 2:41 pm

DioBrando wrote:
Cunxi Huang wrote:EC 12z+42h 923 mb.
AL, 09, 2019091712, 98, EMDT, 42, 344N, 635W, 106, 923, , 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 19

Windspeed is?


105mph
1 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Top
TallyTracker
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 719
Joined: Thu Oct 11, 2018 2:46 pm

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#966 Postby TallyTracker » Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:06 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:
DioBrando wrote:
Cunxi Huang wrote:EC 12z+42h 923 mb.

Windspeed is?


105mph


That maybe wind speed in knots which would make it 120 mph. That seems probable with those kind of pressures.
1 likes   
Fran '96, Georges '98, Gordon '00, Gabrielle '01, Charley '04, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Barry '07, Fay '08, Debby '12, Matthew '16, Emily '17, Irma '17, Michael ‘18, Elsa ‘21, Fred ‘21, Mindy ‘21, Nicole ‘22, Idalia ‘23, Debby ‘24, Helene ‘24
Top
User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3344
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#967 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:11 pm

TallyTracker wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:
DioBrando wrote:Windspeed is?


105mph


That maybe wind speed in knots which would make it 120 mph. That seems probable with those kind of pressures.


Bleh, thought that was the 18z ATCF being posted, sorry
1 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Top
User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2124
Age: 22
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg, VA / Bermuda

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#968 Postby Kazmit » Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:17 pm

It has actually been sunny most of the day but it's now overcast and we're getting some heavy but short-lived showers. The wind and surf are both still calm though.
1 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
DioBrando
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Age: 28
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2018 12:45 pm

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#969 Postby DioBrando » Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:49 pm

An improvement from yesterday
Image
Image
3 likes   
blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
Top
sikkar
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 326
Joined: Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:44 am
Location: Florida

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#970 Postby sikkar » Tue Sep 17, 2019 5:27 pm

Image

Most recent MW. The lower half is being affected by shear/dry air?
1 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
sikkar
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 326
Joined: Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:44 am
Location: Florida

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#971 Postby sikkar » Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:09 pm

Center may pass over this buoy in few hours.
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... m=M&tz=STN
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2124
Age: 22
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg, VA / Bermuda

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#972 Postby Kazmit » Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:25 pm

Recon finding winds that support a high end cat 2... and that's just in the NW side of the storm. I easily see this reaching cat 3 tonight.
1 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15444
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#973 Postby NDG » Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:33 pm

Definitely recon finding Humberto stronger very close to Cat 3.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6059
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:
Contact 1900hurricane

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#974 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:47 pm

111 kt 700 mb winds and 98 kt SFMR should be good enough for 100 kt at 00Z I think.
1 likes   
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Top
User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5849
Age: 41
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:
Contact Hammy

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#975 Postby Hammy » Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:56 pm

1900hurricane wrote:111 kt 700 mb winds and 98 kt SFMR should be good enough for 100 kt at 00Z I think.


Yep, officially 100kt on intermediate advisory.
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3344
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#976 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Sep 17, 2019 6:57 pm

And we're 9-3-2 for the year.
1 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Top
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15444
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#977 Postby NDG » Tue Sep 17, 2019 7:01 pm

Yep, second MH of the season.
1 likes   
Top
NotoSans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1380
Age: 25
Joined: Sun Sep 27, 2015 1:15 am
Location: Toronto
Contact:
Contact NotoSans

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#978 Postby NotoSans » Tue Sep 17, 2019 7:13 pm

100KT looks alright to me based on SFMR reports of 98KT, but I’d neglect the flight-level winds of 111KT recorded in the southeast quadrant, as SFMR shows surface mixing is rather poor at that side.
 https://twitter.com/philipslau681/status/1174113673326915585


0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
Top
JahJa
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 43
Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2010 7:21 pm
Location: Bermuda

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#979 Postby JahJa » Tue Sep 17, 2019 7:47 pm

Given that it is still over warmer SST for a while yet what do you think the chances of it strengthening to a Cat 4 are?
1 likes   
Top
psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4745
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

Re: ATL: HUMBERTO - Hurricane - Discussion

#980 Postby psyclone » Tue Sep 17, 2019 7:52 pm

Humberto is a big and very impressive hurricane. Best wishes to everyone in Bermuda for this one.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2019”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 10 guests