ATL: JERRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[StormTracker]

Hopefully Jerry misses Bermuda, but does anyone know when the last time a hurricane hit that island. I've always wondered how prepared they were and their building codes to withstand hurricane force winds.

From what I'm told Bermuda is built like a fortress! Right now Antigua & Barbuda, and the Virgin Islands may be looking at a threat...ST

Convection fooled me!

[stormwatcher95]

Pretty big blow up in the southwest quad. Possible center relocation? Seems like he's doing what he can to avoid shear.

[msbee]

I don't like this loop at all. Looks like some deep convection headed towards St Maarten.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

[StormTracker]

I don't like this loop at all. Looks like some deep convection headed towards St Maarten.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

Are you in the TS watch area?

[CaribJam]

I don't like this loop at all. Looks like some deep convection headed towards St Maarten.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

I don't like it either. What does the current shear map looks like?

What is the pattern of the favourable "shear"?

[msbee]

I don't like this loop at all. Looks like some deep convection headed towards St Maarten.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

Are you in the TS watch area?

Yes. I live in St Maarten in the Northern Leewards

[USVIKimmie]

I don't like this loop at all. Looks like some deep convection headed towards St Maarten.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

I don't like it either. What does the current shear map looks like?

What is the pattern of the favourable "shear"?

Can change map, too.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=

[stormwatcher95]

Unless the convection collapses again, looks like a brush to the islands for sure.

[msbee]

St Marten is already reporting flooding in coastal areas from high surf.

[CaribJam]

I don't like this loop at all. Looks like some deep convection headed towards St Maarten.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

I don't like it either. What does the current shear map looks like?

What is the pattern of the favourable "shear"?

Can change map, too.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=

Thanks much. It very useful.

[Emmett_Brown]

Big convective flair up. Recon is going in at a great time.

[Aric Dunn]

the individual overshooting tops.. are starting to rotate around... sign its deepening.. rather quickly..

[Kazmit]

Insane satellite improvement over the past 6 hours.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=10L&product=ir

[NDG]

Insane satellite improvement over the past 6 hours.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=10L&product=ir

Notice how as soon as it grows in height again it starts heading on a more westerly heading again.

[Aric Dunn]

Insane satellite improvement over the past 6 hours.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=10L&product=ir

Notice how as soon as it grows in height again it starts heading on a more westerly heading again.

I was just about to say the same thing..

the gulfstream is finding 591 and 592 ridging north it.. that can keep anything down..

[AnnularCane]

Insane satellite improvement over the past 6 hours.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=10L&product=ir

Jerry seems to have put on some weight.

[blazess556]

So much for recon this evening in Jerry. AF 300 has already returned to base twice

[Kazmit]

So much for recon this evening in Jerry. AF 300 has already returned to base twice

Aw. It would have been great timing.

[Aric Dunn]

if that is a pinhole eye poping out on IR then we are seeing some serious RI...

[Monsoonjr99]

Jerry reminds me of Gonzalo 2014.