Thread at Talkling Tropics forum that was the topic for this area.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=120588
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Hurrilurker wrote:For the next 5 days at least it looks like low shear, SSTs 27-29ish, could blow up fast. But yeah, looks pretty likely to pass well north of the 20/60 Hebert box. A lot can change by then though so it bear watching.
LarryWx wrote:A likely TC just off the African coast on or just after 9/22 with no model and not even a single ensemble member even getting it close to the Caribbean, much less the CONUS? I have to go with no more than a 1 in 50 chance for this to hit the CONUS.
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