ATL: LORENZO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[supercane4867]

Based on the current projected path, Lorenzo could be the worst hurricane ever to impact the Azores, especially for the westernmost island

[Astromanía]

2019 ATL season has an hurricane from each category on saffir-simpson scale
Cat 1: Barry
Cat 2: Jerry
Cat 3: Humberto
Cat 4: Lorenzo
Cat 5: Dorian

Edit: "Female hurricanes" are not agressive this year , only "male hurricanes"

[TorSkk]

Satellite presentation improving quickly

[Highteeld]

Exploding right now. Probably over 120 knots.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1178083162146197505

[Ken711]

https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1178083162146197505

As long as it's not a threat to anyone it's nice to observe this intensity increase.

[Highteeld]

https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1178083162146197505

As long as it's not a threat to anyone it's nice to observe this intensity increase.

Hopefully no more tugboats get in the way

[1900hurricane]

DT is still only 5.5 with an OW eye embedded in LG, but it's actually very close to 6.5 due to being near the edges of eye temp and width requirements.



We have more research missions planned tomorrow.

[hurricanes1234]

DT is still only 5.5 with an OW eye embedded in LG, but it's actually very close to 6.5 due to being near the edges of eye temp and width requirements.

https://i.imgur.com/sFzEgoe.gif

We have more research missions planned tomorrow.

Hopefully by then the storm isn't weakening.

[cycloneye]

All three NOAA planes are on the ground in Barbados.

 https://twitter.com/TheAstroNick/status/1178093711441440768

[CrazyC83]

I'd go with 130 kt with the way it looks. Seems to be in a RI trend this evening. That would be T7.0-7.5 if the outer ring closes off?

[Highteeld]

145 mph again

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lorenzo Special Advisory Number 26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132019
800 PM AST Sat Sep 28 2019

...LORENZO HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 45.0W
ABOUT 1445 MI...2325 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES

[CrazyC83]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 28 SEP 2019 Time : 232025 UTC
Lat : 23:40:48 N Lon : 44:45:35 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.6 / 928.0mb/129.6kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.6 6.9 6.9

[Highteeld]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 28 SEP 2019 Time : 232025 UTC
Lat : 23:40:48 N Lon : 44:45:35 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.6 / 928.0mb/129.6kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.6 6.9 6.9

[Highteeld]

Warm Medium Grey eye pixel coming through finally:

[1900hurricane]

Getting warmer eye temps on WV too.

[CrazyC83]

How high is NHC willing to go without Recon though? That looks to be T7.0 to me with the WMG pixel and the thick ring developing. A completed CMG ring would be T7.5 I believe.

[Nancy Smar]

13L LORENZO 190929 0000 23.8N 45.0W ATL 130 936
AL, 13, 2019092900, , BEST, 0, 238N, 450W, 130, 936, HU,

[northjaxpro]

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lorenzo Special Advisory Number 26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132019
800 PM AST Sat Sep 28 2019

...LORENZO HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 45.0W
ABOUT 1445 MI...2325 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES

He is making another solid push at Cat 5 again tonight. I get the feeling he gets there tonight.