00z
06z
2019 WPAC Season
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
With the GFS dropping the model storm just after Mitag, I think it's safe to say it's probably a phantom storm. Now, I'd watch the long range to see if it has some consistent activity, the development start hour decreases every latest run and if other models like Euro joins in.
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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euro6208
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS liking around the 10th for our next TC or TC's?. Varying solutions on this one.
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1900hurricane
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
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Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
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1900hurricane
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Also, it's October. Can JTWC please release last year's finalized best track data now?
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
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1900hurricane
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
00Z GFS is a fun run in the extended range.
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
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euro6208
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
In the western Pacific, models depict a broad area of low pressure to the east of the Mariana Islands which may result in tropical low developing in the region towards the end of Week-1, and another low forming during the earlier portion Week-2. Latest deterministic guidance shows the potential for rapid deepening of theses lows while tracking westward into the Philippine Sea.
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euro6208
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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1900hurricane
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
1900hurricane wrote:Also, it's October. Can JTWC please release last year's finalized best track data now?
I should have posted this sooner. : P
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
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Nancy Smar
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
1900hurricane wrote:1900hurricane wrote:Also, it's October. Can JTWC please release last year's finalized best track data now?
I should have posted this sooner. : P
Ah, JTWC released last year's finalized best track data just now. Probably you are a prophet.
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euro6208
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
92W was dropped from BT.
EURO and GFS still has a significant TC developing after and before it passes the Marianas. Both focusing on the area around 160E.
GFS strengthens this significantly while EURO is a lot less.
EURO and GFS still has a significant TC developing after and before it passes the Marianas. Both focusing on the area around 160E.
GFS strengthens this significantly while EURO is a lot less.
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euro6208
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euro6208
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS continues to develop another monster typhoon east of the Marianas. Timeframe closing in (120).
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euro6208
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
The globals all agree on GFS's second twin but keeps it weak. In fact, GFS is also weaker on it.
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euro6208
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
What a bummer. After days of showing a pair of twins, GFS has finally given up on it.
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