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Highteeld wrote:Liking the new JTWC website look:
https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg
Highteeld wrote:Liking the new JTWC website look:
Highteeld wrote:MET holding back NESDIS from classifying 20W as a T 2.5 -- JTWC tooTXPQ28 KNES 051505
TCSWNP
A. 20W (NONAME)
B. 05/1430Z
C. 14.9N
D. 158.9E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-8
F. T2.0/2.0/D0.5/6HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...THIS INTENSITY ESTIMATE WAS DERIVED USING 4 KM IR
DATA. 4.5/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.5. MET IS 1.5 AND PT IS 2.0. FT
IS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS BECAUSE CHANGE IN FT OF 1.0 OVER 6HRS REQUIRE
24HRS SINCE INITIAL T1.0 AND THE SYSTEM FT TO BE AT LEAST 2.0 6HRS
AGO. NEITHER OF THESE TWO CONDITIONS ARE MET IN THIS CASE.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...ZHU
Hayabusa wrote:https://i.imgur.com/Zx5EJdk.png
Just WOW.GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 05.10.2019
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N 159.4E
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 05.10.2019 0 15.5N 159.4E 1004 25
0000UTC 06.10.2019 12 14.9N 156.1E 1000 32
1200UTC 06.10.2019 24 15.2N 153.0E 993 48
0000UTC 07.10.2019 36 16.0N 149.5E 984 51
1200UTC 07.10.2019 48 16.6N 146.5E 970 68
0000UTC 08.10.2019 60 17.8N 143.2E 952 79
1200UTC 08.10.2019 72 18.6N 140.6E 933 87
0000UTC 09.10.2019 84 19.7N 139.0E 911 100
1200UTC 09.10.2019 96 20.9N 138.2E 897 109
0000UTC 10.10.2019 108 22.2N 137.1E 888 103
1200UTC 10.10.2019 120 23.1N 135.7E 889 103
0000UTC 11.10.2019 132 24.1N 133.9E 883 107
1200UTC 11.10.2019 144 25.3N 131.9E 887 107
Highteeld wrote:
What's really impressive is how consistent the GFS has been with taking Hagabis down into the low to mid 920's. Ever since the FV-3 core has been implemented, the GFS has had a conservative bias, sometimes as much as 30-40 mb with strong, verifying storms (like Dorian et al.). This could go sub 900.
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