Texas Fall 2019

[weatherdude1108]

I woke up to 62 degrees this morning at my place, with lower humidity. It actually felt COOL, after being used to the mid-to upper 70s with 90% humidity for the last few months.lol Very REFRESHING and invigorating!

I just came in from a walk. We need rain in a serious way, but it is also BEAUTIFUL out there! It reminds me of the mountains in the Sierras of California in the Summer time!

[Rgv20]

Walked out this morning to a temperature of 72.....Honestly it felt kind of chilly lol

[CaptinCrunch]

Yesterday's H/L of 80/60 @ DFW airport was a normal (70 avg) day, and a Trace of precip was recorded. (must of been jet fuel)

Bouncy House weather for late week with highs of 91 on Thursday, and 61 on Friday with storms. Saturday morning is going to feel awesome with a low of 42 forecast...

[weatherdude1108]

Nice map!




Some opportunities for rain according to 12Z GFS today.

[Cpv17]

Nice map!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019100812/gfs_apcpn_scus_64.png


Some opportunities for rain according to 12Z GFS today.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019100812/gfs_ref_frzn_scus_12.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019100812/gfs_ref_frzn_scus_28.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019100812/gfs_ref_frzn_scus_51.png

Yep. Crickets on the Euro though.

[weatherdude1108]

Nice map!

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019100812/gfs_apcpn_scus_64.png


Some opportunities for rain according to 12Z GFS today.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019100812/gfs_ref_frzn_scus_12.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019100812/gfs_ref_frzn_scus_28.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019100812/gfs_ref_frzn_scus_51.png

Yep. Crickets on the Euro though.

Oh yeah, I'm sure the GFS will have little to no QPF on the next run or so, based on our luck.

[weatherdude1108]

This has probably been shown before, but it's a cool site to show air and ocean currents, waves, water and air temperatures, particulates and chemicals in the air, etc.

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/w ... ,25.88,410

[Haris]

Yeah we need rain ASAP. This is one heck of a dry period we’re in. Only 2.2” since late June.

[Portastorm]

For several days now the GFS has shown a recurving Pacific hurricane throwing moisture into Texas next Tues-Wed with accompanying, lower level Gulf inflow ... and a frontal boundary. The operational runs ebb and flow with the rainfall totals they show but overall the message (at least the GFS message) is that it could be wet next week for Texas. King Euro, however, says NO RAIN FOR YOU!

[bubba hotep]

Maybe, just maybe, we will see WPC deploy this experimental product for N. Texas at some point this winter?

[Brent]

After 90 on Thursday

[bubba hotep]

After 90 on Thursday

https://i.ibb.co/DzZHrFZ/namconus-T2m-scus-53.png

That same front is bringing departures up to 40F from normal for the Northern Plains. A +/- 40F anomaly at DFW this time of year would be a high of 120F or a low of 19F!

[weatherdude1108]

For several days now the GFS has shown a recurving Pacific hurricane throwing moisture into Texas next Tues-Wed with accompanying, lower level Gulf inflow ... and a frontal boundary. The operational runs ebb and flow with the rainfall totals they show but overall the message (at least the GFS message) is that it could be wet next week for Texas. King Euro, however, says NO RAIN FOR YOU!

I cleaned out my rain barrel this past Sunday. Put what little stagnant rainwater I had left in the barrel under a tree in backyard and a few dry spots.

Hoping King Euro is WRONG, and we get something. I need a fresh batch of rainwater!

[Cerlin]

Very nice to start seeing some blue on those precipitation maps...some snow even seeming to get into Kansas per the GFS...definitely a fan of that.

[South Texas Storms]

Maybe, just maybe, we will see WPC deploy this experimental product for N. Texas at some point this winter?

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EGZvJrBU0AAOSZK?format=jpg&name=small

South Texas too please!

[Brent]

After 90 on Thursday

https://i.ibb.co/DzZHrFZ/namconus-T2m-scus-53.png

That same front is bringing departures up to 40F from normal for the Northern Plains. A +/- 40F anomaly at DFW this time of year would be a high of 120F or a low of 19F!

yeah its not far off from record lows for Dallas

Quite a flip from the endless heat

[Cerlin]

Can the NAM 3k fix it’s snowfall thing so it stops giving me a heart attack?
https://i.ibb.co/bJ2jx2V/A14727-FE-ECCA ... 6-DDF5.gif

[Ralph's Weather]

Can the NAM 3k fix it’s snowfall thing so it stops giving me a heart attack?
https://i.ibb.co/bJ2jx2V/A14727-FE-ECCA ... 6-DDF5.gif

There is some chance of sleet mixing in Friday morning with the NAM showing a saturated sub freezing layer around 900mb.

[Cerlin]

Can the NAM 3k fix it’s snowfall thing so it stops giving me a heart attack?
https://i.ibb.co/bJ2jx2V/A14727-FE-ECCA ... 6-DDF5.gif

There is some chance of sleet mixing in Friday morning with the NAM showing a saturated sub freezing layer around 900mb.

Hm, maybe I should’ve looked a little harder.

Weird to think a few days ago we were a few degrees away from triple digits.

[Ralph's Weather]

Can the NAM 3k fix it’s snowfall thing so it stops giving me a heart attack?
https://i.ibb.co/bJ2jx2V/A14727-FE-ECCA ... 6-DDF5.gif

There is some chance of sleet mixing in Friday morning with the NAM showing a saturated sub freezing layer around 900mb.

Hm, maybe I should’ve looked a little harder.

Weird to think a few days ago we were a few degrees away from triple digits.

The NAM has a vigorous 850mb front coming through Central and N Texas Friday morning, much more vigorous than the globals have it. If we see strong frontogenesis Friday then post frontal showers and even storms are possible. This could be just enough to generate a bit of sleet.