ATL: OLGA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[northjaxpro]

Should see special advisory shortly!

[Aric Dunn]

Does not have much time left but its a TS. for sure..

[GCANE]

Ironic, just when they measure a 5C warm core at 1500 ft, cloud tops warm and rain rate drops.

[tropicwatch]

Think they will have to move the forecast track a little eastward. The center was found east and outside the cone.

[northjaxpro]

Wow, talk about a very short life span as a TS in all likelihood. Probably for only 4-6 hours tops if that even, before the frontal merger actually occurs.

[NDG]

It will be an interesting discussion at the next advisory in a couple of hours but by that time it may be post tropical lol.

[northjaxpro]

This is a classic case in which the Recon arrived just in the nick of time to confirm it was a warm core TS. It just may be happening right now the frontal merger.

[Aric Dunn]

Wow, talk about a very short life span as a TS in all likelihood. Probably for only 4-6 hours tops if that even, before the frontal merger actually occurs.

well offically anyway.. it was likely a TS last evening,..

[northjaxpro]

Wow, talk about a very short life span as a TS in all likelihood. Probably for only 4-6 hours tops if that even, before the frontal merger actually occurs.

well offically anyway.. it was likely a TS last evening,..

Yeah, Aric I agree with you. It may actually had been a TS at least by sunrise earlier today.

[Hammy]

Probably see the winds upped but become post-tropical on the 5pm advisory. I don't see them actually naming it.

[NDG]

Recon shows that the cooler air is just in the SW quadrant for now, NE quadrant, its core & SE quadrant remain warm.

[MississippiWx]

This front is very shallow and weak. The winds on the north side of the circulation are resisting the progression of the front. I’m not sure if it will ever transition fully to non-tropical before making landfall. All academic as impacts will be the same, but very interesting.

[MGC]

Monitoring the situation in the GOM here at Sloppy Joe's Bar in Key West. Windy here in the keys today. TD 17 is likely a TS right now until the cold air arrives soon. Bartender another drink please...,.MGC

[CrazyC83]

Probably see the winds upped but become post-tropical on the 5pm advisory. I don't see them actually naming it.

That would be an unnamed TS in post-analysis.

[Hammy]

Listed as tropical storm on the BT, looks like I spoke minutes too soon.

[northjaxpro]

We may be seeing a threat of severe weather and tornadoes a bit farther east than initially thought as Olga or whatever left of her will impact areas around the NE GOM and Florida Panhandle potentially later tonight and overnight. I would not be surprised to see Tornado Watch by SPC to be extended or expanded a bit farther east also.

[GCANE]

They named 18L Pablo

So, this is Olga.

[tropicwatch]

:uarrow: Olga is born

Haven't seen anything from the NHC yet.

[NDG]

The LLC has been moving on an almost NE heading all day, not North like the NHC said in its last advisory.

[SunnyThoughts]

They may do as they did with Nestor to begin with. Call it a Potential tropical cyclone with 50 mph winds, or something to that effect