Texas Fall 2019

[hriverajr]

It's not warm in Texas, but not cold either... Our source regions are pretty warm according to the latest ensembles.. maybe it will change? heh

[Haris]

I know. That’s why I am wishing hard we see a surprise ice event tue am because I don’t know if I can last until Jan or feb

[bubba hotep]

Hmm, after mid-month not much cold air to be found in the ensembles

How completely shocking... Not

That would be trending back towards a more typical El Nino sequence. Cold early, warm up through December and then return of cold in January & February. However, we all remember waiting for the cold to come back last winter

[Brent]

Hmm, after mid-month not much cold air to be found in the ensembles

How completely shocking... Not

That would be trending back towards a more typical El Nino sequence. Cold early, warm up through December and then return of cold in January & February. However, we all remember waiting for the cold to come back last winter

Yeah last winter still haunts me even had a wintry scare in mid November

Please not a repeat everyone kept saying just wait...

[Cerlin]

Is the 00z 12k nam showing a lot of sleet for DFW or am I crazy

[gpsnowman]

Is the 00z 12k nam showing a lot of sleet for DFW or am I crazy

Steve McCauley mentions a sleet pellet or two for Tuesday morning. We shall see.

[Brent]

Tomorrow evening hmmm maybe rush hour even. I'm guessing it's gonna be a few sleet pellets as it ends at best.

[weatherdude1108]

EWX issued a SPW.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
928 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2019

TXZ171>173-184>192-206-111000-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-Gillespie-
Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Comal-
Including the cities of Llano, Burnet, Georgetown, Rocksprings,
Leakey, Kerrville, Bandera, Fredericksburg, Boerne, Blanco,
San Marcos, Austin, and New Braunfels
928 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2019

...Wintry Precipitation Possible Monday Night...

A strong cold front will arrive Monday afternoon with temperatures
quickly dropping through the remainder of the afternoon and
evening hours. Behind the front, scattered to areas of light rain
are expected to develop in the evening hours. As temperatures
continue to fall, some of this light precipitation could
transition to freezing rain or sleet as the temperature falls to
32 degrees and below. This is most likely to occur in the Hill
Country and Edwards Plateau overnight Monday, but there could be a
window where precipitation is still falling when temperatures
reach the freezing mark around 4-6 AM Tuesday morning in the
northern I35 corridor. At this time only minor accumulations are
expected on exposed surfaces as the intensity of the
precipitation is expected to be light. This forecast will continue
to evolve through Monday afternoon and changes to the forecast
are possible.

[Haris]

[Cpv17]

[url]https://i.ibb.co/tMCswHt/7-D5-D3-A22-5-F07-4-FFB-BF31-D65-CF7-E47-D7-A.png [/url]

Damn!

[Cerlin]

[url]https://i.ibb.co/tMCswHt/7-D5-D3-A22-5-F07-4-FFB-BF31-D65-CF7-E47-D7-A.png [/url]

I like those couple of ensemble runs that have some snow over DFW

[Brent]

[url]https://i.ibb.co/tMCswHt/7-D5-D3-A22-5-F07-4-FFB-BF31-D65-CF7-E47-D7-A.png [/url]

I like those couple of ensemble runs that have some snow over DFW

meanwhile the HRRR has the precip gone way before its cold enough(actually it barely even has RAIN much less anything else)

[gpsnowman]

63 muggy degrees currently. When I pick up my daughter from school at 4 it should be in the 30's with wind chills in the 20's. Pretty cool.

[funster]

Windchill must be fierce right now in OK with 60 mph wind gusts :-O

 https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1193877148542439425

[gpsnowman]

Yep funster, the wind will be brutal later. Wind gusts in Wichita Falls are blowing over 50 mph at 38 degrees. It's getting close.

[Rgv20]

Not a forecast you see everyday!

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Looks like im going to be watching the SPC tonight. Hoping for some magic.

[Ralph's Weather]

This evening could get interesting from the Hill Country up into NE TX with a chance for freezing rain or a mix. Best chance for moisture to hang on long enough to accumulate will be in the Hill Country, but further north likely has more of a chance for it to be a dusting of snow. I will be keeping a close eye on radar and temperature trends. Likely a very minor event at best. Main event will be the very cold windchills (10-15 in N and NE TX, around 20 in Central and SE TX) tomorrow morning.

[Yukon Cornelius]

This is some of the strongest winds I’ve ever seen on a front. Lost the trampoline which was anchored 3 ft into the ground with steel cable. Lost part of the barn roof. Also, it’s already below freezing with a windchill of 15.

[Ralph's Weather]

This is some of the strongest winds I’ve ever seen on a front. Lost the trampoline which was anchored 3 ft into the ground with steel cable. Lost part of the barn roof. Also, it’s already below freezing with a windchill of 15.

Wow.